MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For June 25th, 2026
If you’re looking for the best stolen base picks for today, you’ve come to the right place. Even on a day with a short slate – just nine games today – Fantasy Alarm has you completely covered for the best in both game and prop bet picks. We’re talking everything from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you, just like yesterday’s picks, which told you to bet Wyatt Langford to steal a base at +400. Boom!
In addition to laying out our picks every day, we also provide you with the tools to help you with betting decisions on games we may not specifically cover for the day. For this piece, we use our new stolen base prop finder. So, let’s dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+242)
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+270)
- Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox (+274)
- Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+295)
- Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies (+304)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+311)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays – 9 SB allowed
- Connelly Early, Boston Red Sox – 5 SB allowed
- Cade Cavalli, Washington Nationals – 5 SB allowed
- Tatsuya Imai, Houston Astros – 5 SB allowed
- Zac Gallen, Arizona Diamondbacks – 5 SB allowed
- MacKenzie Gore, Texas Rangers – 5 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (16 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 5% CS (20 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 8% CS (13 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 8% CS (24 att.)
- Jose Trevino, Cincinnati Reds – 9% CS (11 att.)
- Alejandro Kirk, Toronto Blue Jays – 10% CS (21 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (31 att.)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (26 att.)
- Carson Kelly, Chicago Cubs – 13% CS (31 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Thursday, June 25:
Favorite Bets:
Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+240)
Considering Caballero is just average against left-handed pitching (.297 wOBA), this selection has some risk. However, I want to try and take advantage of the inexperienced Red Sox catcher Mickey Gasper, who has yet to throw out a single baserunner in 12 stolen base attempts against him this season. Caballero has 17 stolen bases on the season, a solid success rate at 71-percent, and a high-end sprint speed. Connelly Early has been a solid southpaw for Boston this season, but the Yankees have been very successful against lefties, so I expect Caballero to be running if he can find his way on base.
Bryson Stott, Philadelphia Phillies (+399)
We’re going to ride the hot of the lefty-hitting Stott, as he’s hit safely in seven of his last eight games and has three stolen bases during that span. Nationals righty, Cade Cavalli, has allowed five stolen bases, which is second-most on this short slate, and his primary catcher, Keibert Ruiz, has just a 25-percent caught-stealing rate over 36 attempts, so teams are definitely testing him. Cavalli has had his struggles with lefty hitters, allowing a .361 wOBA this season, so not only are we expecting Stott on-base, but to also stay aggressive on the basepaths.
