MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For June 23rd, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. If you are new to the Fantasy Alarm #FAmily, we continue to provide you with the best in both game and prop bet picks, from home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you, including the stolen base props here. In addition to laying out our picks every day, we also provide you with the tools to help you with betting decisions on games we may not specifically cover for the day. For this piece, we use our new stolen base prop finder. So, let’s dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report (new one dropped yesterday), as that series will continue to accrue data that will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jakob Marsee, Miami Marlins (+252)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+253)
- Juan Soto, New York Mets (+256)
- Josh Naylor, Seattle Mariners (+267)
- Travis Bazzana, Cleveland Guardians (+267)
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+273)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+278)
- Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners (+283)
- Jonny DeLuca, Tampa Bay Rays (+294)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+297)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Robbie Ray, San Francisco Giants – 15 SB allowed
- Sean Burke, Chicago White Sox – 12 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays – 12 SB allowed
- Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins – 12 SB allowed
- George Kirby, Seattle Mariners – 11 SB allowed
- Edward Cabrera, Chicago Cubs – 10 SB allowed
- Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh Pirates – 9 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (11 att)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (15 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 6% CS (17 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 9% CS (11 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 9% CS (22 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (31 att)
- Sebastian Rivero, Los Angeles Angels – 10% CS (10 att)
- Jose Trevino, Cincinnati Reds – 10% CS (10 att)
- Alejandro Kirk, Toronto Blue Jays – 11% CS (19 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (26 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Tuesday, June 23:
Favorite Bets:
Travis Bazzana, Cleveland Guardians (+267) – The last time I picked the Cleveland rookie to steal a base, he went 4-for-4 with two homers and never swiped a bag, so maybe check out his HRR props as well. But this match-up against right-hander Sean Burke and his catchers, who combine for just a 23.5-percent caught-stealing rate, might be too good to pass up. Burke has routinely struggled against left-handed hitters throughout his career, while Bazzana, who is currently riding a six-game hit streak, is posting a mammoth .430 wOBA against righties that comes with a near-13-percent walk rate. With Jose Ramirez and Chase DeLauter out, the Guardians need Bazzana to set the table and be aggressive on the bases.
Longshot:
Carson Benge, New York Mets (+434) – As you can see above, Juan Soto has the shortest odds to steal a base, so if you want to play the situation a little safer, by all means, sprinkle a little something on the perennial all-star. I’m going to take the longer odds here with Benge, who still has the lefty/righty matchup with Cubs starter Edward Cabrera, as well as the 23.8-percent caught-stealing rate of Carson Kelly and Miguel Amaya. But Benge has the higher success rate and the better sprint speed, and since he hits righties well and should have little trouble with Cabrera’s stuff, I’ll take the longer odds today.
