Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. The trials and tribulations of betting stolen base props continue, don’t they? We hit a real nice bet two days ago, and yesterday, we got everyone stealing bases but our guys as we saw multiple Cubs steal bases around Pete Crow-Armstrong and multiple Mets steal bases around our super-longshot in Bo Bichette. A high-variance market, indeed. It can certainly be frustrating, which is why we always consider these as “fun bets” to augment and enhance, not our bread and butter. But I don’t want to deter you from having a little fun, so let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to bang out some more winning stolen base picks today.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, July 31:

Favorite Bets: 

Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+173) – The odds really aren’t that juicy, but sometimes you just have to grab some low-hanging fruit. White Sox righty Erick Fedde has allowed eight stolen bases this year, and his battery-mates have a combined 24.3-percent caught-stealing rate. Fedde is allowing left-handed hitters to post a .345 OBP against him while Simpson sports a .352 OBP against righties. With elite-level sprint speed, I’m expecting Simpson to deliver today.

Randy Arozarena, Seattle Mariners (+380) – We haven’t picked on Twins catcher Victor Caratini and his ever-declining caught-stealing rate recently, so let’s get after him today. Twins righty Zebby Matthews is struggling against both lefties and righties, so we’re not worried about split on his end, and the right-handed Arozarena owns a .385 wOBA against righties with 15 of his 20 steals coming against them. We just enjoyed a three-hit day yesterday, so let’s get it today and keep that momentum rolling.

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