MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For July 1st, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. All good things must come to an end, and while we’ve been white-hot lately, yesterday’s picks didn’t come through for us. Our low-hanging fruit of Jake McCarthy failed miserably as none of the Colorado Rockies did well, and Bobby Witt was too busy hitting home runs to steal any bases. What can you do? Cashing five out of the last seven days is still pretty darn profitable, so let’s attack the stolen base picks again.
As always, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+207)
- Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+259)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+260)
- Samad Taylor, San Diego Padres (+265)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+281)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+287)
- Jonah Cox, San Francisco Giants (+291)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds – 16 SB allowed
- Joey Cantillo, Cleveland Guardians – 12 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays – 12 SB allowed
- Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies – 10 SB allowed
- Reynaldo Lopez, Atlanta Braves – 9 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (17 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 5% CS (20 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 7% CS (28 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 8% CS (13 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 9% CS (34 att)
- Carson Kelly, Chicago Cubs – 11% CS (35 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 12% CS (26 att)
- Alejandro Kirk, Toronto Blue Jays – 13% CS (24 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Wednesday, July 1:
Favorite Bets:
Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+260) – He’s too hot at the plate not to try and run this one back against today. Maybe he doesn’t hit so many home runs, or maybe he draws a nice, timely walk. But while I think the world of Shane McClanahan, he’s allowed the second-most stolen bases on today’s slate, and we know the Rays catchers have combined for just a 23.4-percent caught-stealing rate. Let’s get in while we can.
JJ Wetherholt, St. Louis Cardinals (+453) – We’re going to go with a little bit of a longshot play here, but one I’m pretty confident in based on all the data and what I know about Braves righty Reynaldo Lopez. Now, keep in mind, this guy has spent time in the bullpen and on the IL, so the fact that he’s coughed up nine stolen bases, fourth-most on the slate, says something. But we can also combine that with the fact that Braves catcher Drake Baldwin has just a five-percent caught-stealing rate on 20 attempts. Wetherholt has a .355 wOBA against righties this season and a syb-17-percent K-rate. With a strong sprint speed and a 100-percent success rate on the bases, we’re going to invest.
