MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions for August 28th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today! After another hit with Bobby Witt in yesterday’s picks, we are cruising into Friday with wins on back-to-back days. Always be sure to check both the free newsletter and here for our picks each day. You never know when we hop back onto a run like we did last week, where we hit 12 picks in 12 days. We’re at two in a row right now, and we want to head into the weekend with three-straight, right? So let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to bang out some more winning stolen base picks.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+203)
- Otto Lopez, Miami Marlins (+239)
- Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres (+243)
- AJ Ewing, New York Mets (+256)
- CJ Abrams, Washington Nationals (+276)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+296)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+298)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+300)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays – 26 SB allowed
- Eury Perez, Miami Marlins – 25 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays – 14 SB allowed
- Hunter Brown, Houston Astros – 13 SB allowed
- Reid Detmers, Los Angeles Angels – 12 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 3% CS (31 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 6% CS (34 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 9% CS (34 att)
- Brett Sullivan, Colorado Rockies – 11% CS (35 att)
- Agustin Ramirez, Miami Marlins – 13% CS (15 att)
- Austin Wynns, Texas Rangers – 13% CS (23 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 13% CS (23 att)
- James McCann, Arizona Diamondbacks – 13% CS (30 att)
- Ryan Jeffers, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (30 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 13% CS (47 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, August 28:
Favorite Bets:
CJ Abrams, Washington Nationals (+276) – We’ve had a nice read on Abrams this year and with a .396 wOBA and 22 steals against right-handed pitching, we’re going to lean on him against Eury Perez, who has allowed the second-most stolen bases in the league this season. Since trading away Liam Hicks, the Marlins' catchers have posted a below-average 24.5-percent caught-stealing rate, so with slower pop times and a slow delivery, we’ll lean on Abrams to cash for us once again.
Randy Arozarena, Seattle Mariners (+432) – We’ve got a bit of a perfect storm brewing over here. Dylan Cease, who’s allowed the most stolen bases in the league, pitches better on the road than he does at home, and his lefty/righty splits don’t really have a big differential. Arozarena hits significantly better on the road, and he has a .366 wOBA with 15 steals against right-handed pitching. Alejandro Kirk and Brandon Valenzuela combine for just a 23.4-percent caught-stealing rate. I’m locking this one down tonight before the odds start to change.
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