Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Saturday, August 22nd. While we missed both picks in the article yesterday, we nailed the Corbin Carroll pick in the newsletter, so be sure you subscribe to our daily newsletter for extra betting picks each day! There’s some very interesting spots on the board to attack today, with numerous pitchers being popular targets throughout the year in terms of targeting stolen bases. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to hit some stolen base picks for Saturday, August 22nd.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Without further ado, here are our top MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, August 22:

Favorite Bets: 

Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+270)

Chalky, sure, but the matchup is simply too good. Eury Perez is tied for the league lead in stolen bases allowed on the year, and the tandem of Perez and Joe Mack have allowed an 85.7% success rate (6-for-7) in 2026. Nunez hasn’t had the best of runs here in the second half, but he swiped two bags yesterday, has a 97th-percentile sprint speed, and he’s 30-for-34 on stolen base attempts against RHP in 2026.

The Nationals are running at one of the higher clips in the MLB over the last two weeks, and amongst qualified runners, Nunez has the second-highest stolen base attempt rate (6.4%) in all of baseball.

Spencer Jones, New York Yankees (+528)

Jones stole just one base across his first 82 plate appearances for the Yankees, but since rejoining the club after the All-Star break, he’s a perfect 6-for-6 on stolen base attempts across 88 plate appearances! It’s a tough matchup against Dylan Cease, but if Jones can find his way on base (.286 AVG, .324 OBP over the last 10 games), he’s got a great chance to add to his stolen base total.

Cease is tied for the league lead with 18 stolen bases allowed, and with Ryan Weathers on the mound for the Yankees, the Blue Jays will likely have Alejandro Kirk behind the dish. Kirk has a below-average 16% caught stealing rate, but Kirk has not thrown out a single base stealer when working with Cease. Not a single one! Zero point zero percent! The Yankees recorded three stolen bases against Cease back on August 16th, and so long as they can get on base, I’d expect similar success today. Jose Caballero and Jazz Chisholm are enticing, too.

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