Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Saturday, September 12th. Howard Bender has been hot on the base paths, and we’re going to look to keep it going on this fine Saturday! Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to hit some stolen base picks for Saturday, September 12th.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

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Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Without further ado, here are our top MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, September 12th:

Favorite Bets: 

Otto Lopez, Miami Marlins (+257)

If you can manage to get on base against Glasnow, you can run on the L.A. right-hander. The league average for stolen base attempt rate against is 1.3%. Glasnow currently sits at 5.2 percent. Lopez boasts an 82nd percentile sprint speed, and he’s been running like a mad man since the All-Star break. He’s seeing the ball well at the dish right now, and the Glasnow-Will Smith battery has yet to catch a runner this year (0-for-4).

Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers (+588)

It’s been a slow start to September for Mitchell, but he’s on the better side of his splits, and this matchup is ripe for the picking. Brady Singer has a 5.67 ERA on the road in 2026, and he’s served up a .367 OBP to left-handed hitters. Singer’s ERA since August 1 sits at 6.00, and his WHIP is at an unimpressive 1.56. The Reds’ catching group ranks in the bottom half of the league in caught stealing rate, and Tyler Stephenson, the likely catcher for today’s game, has caught just 2 of his last 12 base stealers.

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