MLB Home Run Picks Today: Best HR Predictions for June 13th, 2026
Jake Bauers cashed in for us last night with a +453 winner to extend our streak of MLB home run picks to three! It’s far from our longest, so let’s extend it with an all-day baseball slate. That means plenty of MLB home run picks to root for from the early afternoon all that way to the three different series out west. The card includes Las Vegas action and the coast-to-coast Rays vs. Angels clash. So, let’s see what made the cut for our top MLB home run predictions today!
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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today
Some starters that bring some extra intrigue to the slate are Bubba Chandler and Cade Cavalli. Chandler has the ability to rack up K’s, but at the same time, his high four-seamer velocities can lead to high exit velocities to help with MLB home run picks - don’t miss our MLB home run prop tool as well.
As for Cavalli, he can be had, but his curveball can make things difficult for dingers. Before we go down the rabbit hole of matchups for MLB home run predictions too soon, check out our MLB expert picks for more angles on the slate. Now, the names that we’re focused on today…
- CJ Abrams: +450 at bet365 Sportsbook
- Matt Olson: +375 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- JJ Bleday: +334 at Novig Sportsbook
🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/13: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact
For yet another tool that we’ve got for you, our MLB weather report is can’t-miss when it comes making the best MLB home run picks. Beyond that, there are a ton of metrics to check out when it comes to how starters perform vs. lefties/righties and some underlying hitter numbers like expected wOBA, hard-hit rates and so much more. We’ll touch on as many as possible as we break down our best MLB home run picks for today below!
CJ Abrams (+450)
As we outlined yesterday - yes, Las Vegas is the spot for homers without a doubt. Also once again, that’s why we see terribly short odds for them, so we’re just not going to take the easy way out with that low-hanging fruit. The low-hanging fruit in Mariners vs. Nationals is James Wood, but we’ve got our eyes on a better payout in Washington for our MLB home run picks.
Seattle starter Bryce Miller easily cashed a strikeout pick for us last night, but now the Nats lefties get to face Luis Castillo. He has a southpaw problem, and while he doesn’t allow a ton of high exit velocities, this is about trusting the Nats lineup. In fact, for an even higher payout without it being a longshot, go with Luis Garcia, Jr. in this spot.
Even still, we love the price tag we’re getting with a cleanup guy looking for homer #15, so we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with CJ Abrams to hit a HR (+450 at bet365).
Matt Olson (+375)
Yes, this is a name you’ve seen here several times, but it’s also one that has cashed for us multiple times. We saw the Mets hit multiple homers (Juan Soto also cashed for us two days ago) in the first inning vs. Spencer Strider last night, so Atlanta needs some revenge. That’s why the lefty is part of our MLB home run picks, but it’s not the only reason.
New York is having one of the weird pitching days with Sean Manaea either starting, being the long man after an opener or something in between. However, they decide to handle that situation, anything other than an ace is just fine for Olson. Frankly, aces can be had given his HR prowess, so we’ll gladly take this price tag.
Citi Field has been looking like Las Vegas these past few days, so let’s add to our top MLB home run picks today with Matt Olson to hit a HR (+375 at FanDuel).
JJ Bleday (+334)
Ketel Marte didn’t hit one for us last night at the Great American Ball Park, Corbin Carroll has the shortest odds to go yard in this game and they’re both facing Rhett Lowder plus a terrible Reds bullpen. So, we know that they’re hitting dingers, but there’s also some targets for the home team to cash some MLB home run picks.
Sal Stewart is a name that you’re going to see coming up (spoiler), but we also can’t ignore left JJ Bleday. Like Olson, he’s a guy that has cashed for us multiple times, which should be no surprise - the lefty has eight homers vs. righties since May 1. While Michael Soroka is a bit unique with his “slurve,” he still allows some of the highest exit velocities.
Again, the Arizona guys have the benefit of a terrible Cinci bullpen, but we’ll still lock in JJ Bleday to hit a HR (+334 at Novig) as one of our best MLB home run picks for today.
🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today
While those are our top targets, how about a potential monster payout? We can get just that by hitting another one of our MLB home run longshot picks:
- Jacob Young: +1300 at Caesars Sportsbook
You saw us lead off with the Nats lineup, and that’s where we’re looking for our biggest value play. He may not be a lefty, but Young has a way of getting one over the fence when you least expect it, hence his eight dingers this year. So, the Washington center fielder is our top MLB home run longshot pick for today!
💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay
Ok, let’s get one more way to approach the long ball for you when we get action on the diamond the entire day. Here’s our best MLB home run parlay for today:
- Luis Garcia, Jr., Sal Stewart & Ketel Marte: +12964 at DraftKings, so a $10 bet pays $1,306.40!
Feel free to just use our best MLB home run longshot pick for today above in a for-fun parlay or just pluck a new target out from the trio above. Approach the names that we’ve discussed however you’d like, but make it as valuable of a Saturday as possible!
