Sunday slates during the baseball season mean there is no waiting for the action to start, and of course, that you’ll want the best MLB home run picks! That’s especially true with how well we’ve done with them this season, and with classic homer spots like Coors Field on deck, let’s keep that rolling. We’ve also got to avoid some premier names like Paul Skenes (or do we?) and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but there’s still so many options out there. So, let’s close out our weekend with the best MLB home run predictions today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

The aforementioned Yamamoto is now featured in the afternoon with the doubleheader in play, and an extra game is just more reason to enjoy more markets with our MLB expert picks! Of course, for those just wanting to stick with the best MLB home run picks, then take advantage of our MLB home run prop tool along with the names below.

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/19: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Our MLB weather report is always crucial for MLB home run picks and our first stop, but with the air quality postponing games, it’s even more important these days. In fact, the weather has been affecting who and when certain starters toe the rubber, which is another major factor in predicting the longball.

For example, we won’t see Braxton Ashcraft all week! Admittedly, that’s likely good news to see more MLB home run picks get over the fence; speaking of which, there are also a ton of factors for the guys hitting them over. Hitter splits with righties and lefties, their hard-hit rates, pitch type performance and so much more are what you’ll see while breaking down our best MLB home run picks for today!

Tyler Stephenson (+470)

Shocker - Coors Field is our top spot for dingers today. With the Cincinnati Reds starting Hunter Greene, Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak making solid contact with one of his heaters will get out in a hurry. However, he’s still not the guy we’re targeting with our MLB home run picks, as Colorado is starting Ryan Feltner.

The Rockies righty gets rocked by both sides of the plate, and Sal Stewart is the more “standard” play here. However, it’s a Sunday, so why not get you some extra value right from the jump? Jose Trevino caught for the Reds yesterday and went yard TWICE. Now it’s Stephenson’s turn, who has a 93rd percentile sweet-spot rate of 40.1%.

Along with the Rockies terrible bullpen, we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with the value pick of Tyler Stephenson hitting a HR (+470 at FanDuel).

James Wood (+265)

Believe it or not, we haven’t focused on Sacramento at all this weekend! Well, it’s finally time to head to the Triple-A spot of Sutter Health Park, and the series has proven why. After the Washington Nationals put up 23 runs in the series opener, the A’s responded last night with 15 runs! That spells MLB home run picks for sure.

The home team had some longshot winners, but today, the name we’re rolling with is no under-the-radar target. Sure, it’s become a “square” pick for homers, but we’re not going to fight against it just because the leadoff man is becoming a household name. He’s got 10 leadoff homers alone, and Jacob Lopez doesn’t scare us at all.

The odds for this lefty-on-lefty crime are better than we expected, so we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with James Wood to hit a HR (+265 at bet365).

Mike Trout (+304)

Ok, it’s been quite some time since we targeted this former MVP, but it’s time. Of course, some of that time was due to being on the IL (another shocker), but we’re on the superstar. Hopefully you tailed our prediction market plays last night as well, as Tarik Skubal hit nine K’s. Thankfully for MLB home run picks, the lefty ace won’t be on the mound again.

To be fair, Casey Mize is no slouch, but he’s no ace either. While Trout’s issue has always been getting injured, when he’s at the plate, he’s elite - his .556 expected slugging, .408 expected wOBA and 19.8% barrel rate are all either 98th or 99th percentile. We also love Angel Stadium; so does Spencer Torkelson, who double donged there last night.

After LA got shutout last night, it’s time to cash one of our top MLB home run picks today with Mike Trout hitting a HR (+304 at Novig).

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up below to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

We just targeted a few stereotypical spots with our MLB home run picks, especially Coors Field and Sutter Health Park. Well, Citizens Bank Park is no stranger to homers either, and our longshot name is quickly becoming no strangers to dingers as well…

The Mets rookie has been stellar, and the lefty gets the Phillies worst part of the rotation - Alan Rangel. That means no Sanchez, Luzardo or Wheeler to deal with, and if you see our stolen base article target Benge for one, you know he’ll go yard. Kidding - but he’s still our best MLB home run longshot pick for today!

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

We led things off focusing on Coors Field, and our best MLB home run parlay expands on that matchup. Specifically, with the Reds, and we added in a casual five-tool player that is considered the best in baseball…

Remember, any one name of that trio is worthy of an individual play as well. No matter what, everything above is plus-money action, so let’s make our best MLB home run picks today count!