If you’re looking for the best way to add to the NFL Week 2 Sunday slate, the answer is right here with our best MLB home run picks for today! We’ve got all-day action on the diamond right alongside the gridiron, so why not make the most of both? From an NL East rivalry of Phillies vs. Mets to start the slate leading up to Sunday Night Baseball alongside Sunday Night Football, there is a ton to enjoy. Even if you're busy tinkering with your fantasy football lineups, we’ve done the digging for you to provide you with the best MLB home run predictions for today!

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

The aforementioned slate-starter also features a stud southpaw in Cristopher Sanchez, so if you want more than just MLB home run picks with picks like K props and game markets, then just check out our MLB expert picks. Along with Sanchez is Jacob Misiorowski on Sunday Night Baseball, so there truly is so much to consider. You can also just consider more MLB home run predictions with our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 9/20: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

We know that you have plenty happening on Sundays this time of year, which is why we’ve broken down all the factors that impact MLB home run picks for you. Those start with weather conditions, which means our very own MLB weather report. Then, it’s all about the starters on the mound, preferably ones other than Sanchez and The Miz.

That means their righty/lefty splits, barrel rates, hard-hit rates, average exit velocities, expected slugging/ISO and much more. That was quite a bit already, so thankfully, we can tell you that the hitters have much of the same metrics to consider, plus their launch angles. After considering those factors plus bullpens (especially today), here is why the aforementioned names made the cut for our top MLB home run picks today.

Alec Burleson (+387)

We kicked things off in Coors Field yesterday, but we’re going to have our kickoff alongside the NFL Sunday kickoff in St. Louis. That’s right - back to Busch Stadium. After picking on Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy yesterday, it’s time to pick on a unit that we’ve loved for MLB home run picks, which is the Washington Nationals bullpen.

Not only have they allowed over 100 homers this year, but when they first reached that century mark, there wasn’t even another team over 90 yet! Even before they hit the mound, we get to enjoy Jake Irvin toeing the rubber. That name means one thing: lefty power. Irvin’s expected ISO allowed to southpaws is sitting at a juicy .221!

We can’t fault anyone for going with HR Derby champ Jordan Walker or the young power of Joshua Baez, but we love leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Alec Burleson hitting a HR (20.5%, so +387, at Novig). 

Kody Clemens (+365)

Now we’re heading west, past Coors Field in Colorado and all the way to Angel Stadium in Los Angeles. Like the Nats, the Los Angeles Angels have a poor bullpen as well, and we’re also picking on Ryan Johnson here. When it comes to power allowed, both sides of the plate can get the job done cashing MLB home run picks.

It’s slightly better for lefties given his .201 expected ISO allowed to southpaws, but even righties get to enjoy a .195 expected ISO allowed. Therefore, it’s more about focusing on which guys in the Minnesota Twins lineup have the better metrics vs. right-handed pitching. Well, this lefty has an amazing .248 ISO vs. righties this season, so this feels like a no-brainer.

Let’s continue adding to our top MLB home run picks today with Kody Clemens hitting a HR (21.5%, so +365, at Novig). 

Pete Crow-Armstrong (+233)

Could we easily just take a target at Coors Field? Of course, but as you’ve already seen, we didn't take the easy way out. Ok, we’ll admit the Great American Ball Park is also an awesome spot for dingers, as is the Cincinnati Reds bullpen, keeping us on brand for our best MLB home run picks today.

Like the above, we also love the starter leading up to that unit, as it’s Rhett Lowder. We’ve been taking Los Angeles Dodgers hitters against him in his recent starts, and now, it’s all about the Chicago Cubs. Since the Reds started a lefty yesterday, we went with righty Seiya Suzuki. Well, that swaps today, hence our swap to the soon-to-be NL MVP.

Sure, it’s a chalky pick, but we still love adding to our best MLB home run picks today with Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting a HR (30%, so +233, at Novig). 

🎯 Newsletter Exclusive Pick 🎯

Our top home run picks are above, but we also included one bonus HR play exclusively in today's edition of The Daily Alarm. If you're subscribed, don't forget to check your inbox before lock. If not, sign up for free to get these extra and exclusive picks daily!

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

It was only two nights ago that we cashed our longshot play, and here is how we’re adding to our MLB home run picks and bonus pick:

We’re going to root for another homer alongside PCA’s bomb, but from the other team in the matchup. We’ve seen the Cubs bullpen have their own struggles, and Myers gets a solid righty vs. lefty matchup with David Peterson (for now). A full bullpen game will be even better for our MLB home run longshot pick! 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

A longshot isn’t the only way for us to add to a massive Sunday. Here’s a trio of MLB home run picks that we’ve pieced together into a for-fun parlay for today:

We mentioned the HR Derby champ above; Lee is a borderline longshot pivot to really boost the payout, and Seiya alongside PCA to make up for last night! Let’s close out the weekend in the best way possible by hitting each of our top MLB home run picks today!