The weekend is done and dusted, and while the start of a new week doesn’t bring us the same volume of all-day MLB action, we’ve still got a 10-game slate on a Monday. So, why not make it as exciting as possible with some MLB home run picks? Guys like Zack Wheeler and Chase Burns may not be prime targets, but they’re far from the only ones. So, let’s get into our top MLB home run predictions and why they made the cut!

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

If you want more than just MLB home run picks once you’ve checked out everything below, always check in with our MLB expert picks. As for the longball specifically, we’ve loved hooking you up with them so much that we’ve also now got an MLB home run prop tool for you to enjoy!

While we’ll get into each of our favorite spots in more depth, here are just the names of our best MLB home run picks for today:

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 6/15: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

As we’ll always reiterate, our MLB weather report is a must-check before the slate starts. There are no afternoon games today, so plenty can shift in the forecast leading up to each first pitch. Speaking of pitching, MLB home run picks are also greatly affected by righty/lefty splits and hard-hit rates. So, let’s fully dive into our top spots.

Hunter Goodman (+280)

The Colorado Rockies already have the luxury of playing at Coors Field, just had a series in Las Vegas, and now, they get to play at Wrigley Field with the wind blowing out at 10 mph. Yes, we know Hunter Goodman just homered - twice - yesterday, but we’re still going with the Rockies righty to lead off our best MLB home run picks for today.

Interestingly enough, these teams just met last week, and Chicago Cubs starter Shota Imanaga didn’t allow a homer. However, in his three previous starts, he not only allowed homers, but he allowed either three or FOUR homers! Now that Colorado has gotten to see a lefty splitter (they hadn’t up to that point), they’ll be ready.

The great conditions keep coming for this guy, so we’re leading off our best MLB home run picks for today with Hunter Goodman to hit a HR (+280 at FanDuel).

Yandy Diaz (+375)

We’re going from a guy who just homered twice yesterday to a guy that we also targeted yesterday, so it’s quite a weird Monday for sure. Even still, we’re not going to fight against this just because of that when we have an elite leadoff man facing Eric Lauer. After all, he’s a lefty who has helped us with MLB home run picks before.

Dodger Stadium may not have Wrigley-esque winds, but it’s still a strong ballpark for dingers. Diaz can hit anyone well, and against southpaws this season, he’s hitting .319, which is also the case over the past six weeks. Lauer has allowed at least one homer in every outing but one this year, and while it’s a name that you just saw, we’re still going to add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Yandy Diaz to hit a HR (+375 at BetMGM).

Nick Kurtz (+267)

To go along with Paul Skenes and Bubba Chandler, the Pittsburgh Pirates have yet another flamethrower in Jared Jones. That means massive potential exit velocities, and when pitching in Sacramento, that’s an awesome combination. When it comes to the A’s lineup, you already know that it comes down to two primary guys for MLB home run picks.

In this spot, we’re going with the lefty rather than Shea Langeliers. The southpaw is hitting .309 with a .647 slugging and 1.136 OPS against right-handed pitching over the past month, and on top of that, he has been a fantastic hitter against sliders, which is what Jones goes with as his secondary pitch after his four-seamer.

Both could certainly go yard, but we’ll make Nick Kurtz hitting a HR (+267 at Novig) an official pick from our best MLB home run picks for today.

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

With so many hitter-friendly environments today from Philly to the West Coast, let’s get an even bigger potential payout on the menu. Here’s our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

Cincinnati Reds starter Chase Burns is not the guy fans will want to pick on today, but this is a longshot for a reason. With the heat he throws, solid contact can get out in a hurry, and let’s not forget - the Reds have an awful bullpen. The hitter-friendly park is also great for the rookie lefty with a bright future, hitting our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

It almost feels like there’s no going wrong with the locations of games today, so let’s take it one step further. Here’s our best MLB home run parlay for today.

Pluck a single name out of the trio above or just combine our original three targets. Whatever you decide, make the most of our best MLB home run picks for today!