Thursdays during the MLB season generally have either the smallest or second-lightest slate of the entire week, but today, we have PLENTY of action for MLB home run picks! Not only are there 13 games on deck, but we’ve also got five afternoon games to enjoy after cashing our longshot pick with Kyle Karros last night! Whether we want to pick on Mitch Keller or avoid Drew Rasmussen, we’ve got plenty to consider to provide you with the absolute best MLB home run predictions for today.

You’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. Make sure that you also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

As excited as we are to talk about the longball, when we see a slate featuring the anticipated return of Patrick Sandoval and other lefties like Jesus Luzardo, then you’ll also want to go beyond our MLB home run picks with our MLB expert picks.

That way, you can enjoy more markets, and therefore, more games throughout the all-day slate. That said, if you truly are just looking to focus on MLB home run prediction, then simply take advantage of our exclusive MLB home run prop tool!

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 7/9: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

You know that our can’t-miss tools never stop, so we’ll also make sure to share our MLB weather report, which is where we start when finding the best spots for MLB home run picks. As much as weather absolutely affects dingers, the actual guys on the diamond are the ones hitting them or trying to keep them from happening.

So, starters and bullpen breakdowns are a must, as are hitters in terms of their righty/lefty splits, performances against specific pitch types, and more. Speaking of “more,” you’ll see just that as we fully dive into each of our best MLB home run picks for today!

Miguel Vargas (+365)

It’s official! Patrick Sandoval is officially making his return just before the All-Star break for the first time since like 1972. Ok, it hasn’t been that long, but the lefty has been off the mound for over two full years, so what can we really expect from him? Well, what we’re expecting is some MLB home run picks to cash in this game.

The Sox showdown has warm, humid weather, so while it might not be Wrigley Field, we like the conditions. What we like even more is that Chicago has one of the best lefty hitters in baseball. As a lineup, they strike out a ton vs. southpaws, but Vargas has a .596 slugging and 1.013 OPS against them, and Sandoval is as far from midseason form as it gets.

Hopefully, the rest of the lineup helps keep him on the mound so that we can cash one of our best MLB home run picks today with Miguel Vargas hitting a HR (+365 at bet365).

Bobby Witt, Jr. (+290)

You know what, if you want to stay in that same Sox showdown, you absolutely should if Willson Contreras is in the lineup against Anthony Kay. We want a righty against him, but with that being up in the air after last night’s injury, we’ll pivot elsewhere. Let’s head to an earlier game in Queens at Citi Field with our MLB home run picks.

We’ve got two pitchers worth picking on in Sean Manaea and Michael Wacha. We’ll pick on the lefty that has been given openers for a solid stretch this season, even if the KC lineup isn’t exactly elite. Carter Jensen has cashed a leadoff homer for us before, but against Manaea, we want to target a righty instead.

So, while it’s a chalkier pick than our first one, we still see value in adding to our best MLB home run picks today with Bobby Witt, Jr. to hit a HR (+290 at FanDuel).

Bryce Harper (+281)

If you want a serious value play in that Royals vs. Mets matchup mentioned above, Jorge Polanco vs. Michael Wacha is your option (he’s in the +500’s)! To switch things up, how could we not go to the Great American Ball Park? In fact, it’s not even switching things up since we’re going to note one of our favorite trifectas for MLB home run picks.

That would be the ballpark, Brady Singer, and the Reds bullpen. We saw Kyle Schwarber extend his league lead last night, so we don’t expect to see Harper pitched around in back-to-back games (he had two walks last night). He was also in the leadoff spot, and Trea Turner was out of the lineup, so stay tuned for how things are laid out.

Although it’s a name you’ve seen multiple times over the past week, we’re not going to avoid a spot just because of that - we’re adding to our best MLB home run picks for today with Bryce Harper hitting a HR (+281 at Novig).

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Looking for more? We’ve got you covered. Consider adding to the MLB home run picks above with today’s top longshot spot.

Today is the return of Bailey Ober for Minnesota, so while everyone is targeting Gavin Williams K props for Guardians vs. Twins, we’re going to grab true value. Lefties have a .526 slugging vs. Ober before missing over a month, so let’s shake off that rust with our best MLB home run longshot pick for today and hit it two days in a row!
 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

If those four names have you wanting more, we STILL have you covered! For our biggest potential payout yet, consider adding to our top MLB home run picks today with our featured parlay play.

This Thursday slate is already more loaded than usual, so it’s like the weekend is already upon us. Well, it will certainly feel like it once you take advantage of our best MLB home run picks for today!