Although fantasy owners tend to chase the shiny new toy, Willy Adames seems reasonably priced in redraft leagues this year. He surged to a .278/.348/.406 slash in 85 games following his promotion last season with 43 runs, 10 home runs, 34 RBI and six stolen bases. Adames notched an isolated power of .128, almost a carbon copy of his number at Triple-A but he struck out in just under 30 percent of his plate appearances. This will need to be factored in to his outcomes for 2019.

It’s almost perplexing how Adames finished with a 12 percent swinging strike rate but only a 27.6 O-Swing (swings and misses outside the strike zone) resulting in a 74 percent contact rate. Bake in his 52.1 percent ground ball rate and a full repeat of last year will be a reach. Especially given Adames expected regression.

Starting with xSTATS, Adames tallied 7.5 expected home runs with a .242/.316/.353 slash line. His expected on-base average finished below .300 as well. Shifting to Statcast, Adames...