NFL Playoffs DFS: Chiefs/Bills Showdown Playbook

Howard Bender breaks down the Kansas City Chiefs/Buffalo Bills game to help those who are playing DFS contests during the NFL Conference Championships.

Howard Bender

Published Sun Jan 24, 2021 11:45 am (EST)

NFL DFS - Showdown

NFL Playoffs DFS: Chiefs/Bills Showdown Playbook

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Spread: Chiefs -3.5

O/U: 54.5

Money Line: Chiefs -167; Bills +145

Betting Trends:

Kansas City is 7-9-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
Buffalo is 12-6 ATS this season.
The total has hit...

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NFL The purge continues: Texans release Duke Johnson

NFL Fitz believes he can start somewhere in 2021

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NFL Nate Solder wants to play in 2021 after opting out

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D. Johnson - RB

Texans released RB Duke Johnson.

The move saves the Texans around $5 million in cap space for 2021. Johnson played in 27 games for Houston and rushed for 645 yards and three rushing scores. An excellent pass catcher, Johnson reeled in 72 balls for 659 receiving yards and four receiving touchdowns during his two seasons with the Texans. Johnson was relegated to a situational back in the Houston offense, seeing double digit carries just three times in two years. He averaged a mere 3.59 targets per contest in 27 games with the Texans, much to the frustration of Duke Johnson truthers everywhere. Johnson didn't stand much chance of making the 2021 roster with Houston entering full rebuild mode. Johnson, who will be 28 in September, should catch on with a team in need of an experienced third down back.

Added 12:42 pm (EST)

Adam Schefter on Twitter

$6100

$3500

$4400

B. Hoyer - QB

The Miami Herald's Armando Salguero reports Brian Hoyer is a "leading candidate" to serve as Tua Tagovailoa's backup in 2021.

Salguero said the team doesn't want a backup who will overshadow Tua in his first full season as starter. Miami is unlikely to re-sign Ryan Fitzpatrick in part because he's a threat to Tua's starting gig. Dolphins offensive co-coordinator George Godsey was familiar with Hoyer when both were in New England and worked with him when Godsey was Houston's offensive coordinator. Hoyer, 35, has started 39 games in his journeyman career.

Added 11:41 am (EST)

MiamiHerald.com

$6000

$4100

$5000

R. Fitzpatrick - QB

MIA

The Miami Herald's Armando Salguero reports Ryan Fitzpatrick "believes he’s played well enough the past couple of years to get a chance to at least compete for a starting job with some team."

The Dolphins' commitment to Tua Tagovailoa as the team's starter means Fitzpatrick would have to look elsewhere this offseason if he wants a starting gig. Fitzpatrick was less than thrilled with Miami's decision to bench him at midseason in favor of Tagovailoa, who struggled throughout the second half of the season. The Broncos reportedly have interest in Fitzpatrick, though the team remains in the Deshaun Watson conversation. Drew Lock could be the latest young quarterback to lose his starting job to Fitz if he signed with Denver. The grizzled veteran has a lengthy history of unseating young signal callers, including Geno Smith, Jameis Winston, and Josh Rosen. The Dolphins will need to remove any and all competition for Tua to be the team's opening day starter. There's almost no chance Fitzpatrick returns to South Florida.

Added 11:24 am (EST)

MiamiHerald.com

$6200

$4900

$5100

P. Chung - DB

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports S Patrick Chung, LB Dont'a Hightower, and OT Marcus Cannon plan to return to the Patriots in 2021.

Rapoport's report is further confirmation that the Pats will get their key players back next season after they opted out of the 2020 season due to COVID-19. "Physically, all are in a good place," Rapoport said. Without Hightower and Chung last year, New England allowed the 15th most yards per game and the seventh fewest points per game. Cannon will be $9.62 million against the cap in 2021, Chung will cost $5.13 million against the cap, and Hightower will cost $11.32 million against the cap. With upgrades at quarterback, tight end, wide receiver, and running back, the Patriots could easily be playoff contenders in 2021.

Added 10:53 am (EST)

Ian Rapoport on Twitter

N/A

N. Solder - OT

NYG

Giants T Nate Solder said he intends to play in 2021 after opting out of the 2020 season.

Solder reportedly hasn't spoken with the Giants about his return. He opted out of the 2020 season because he was considered a high-risk COVID-19 case. Solder, a nine-year veteran, is scheduled to make $10 million in 2021 while costing $16.5 million against the salary cap. It's no guarantee Solder returns to the Giants, who would save $6 million this season against the salary cap if Solder is released, and $10 million if they cut the veteran after June 1. NFL Network's Ian Rapoport said the Giants will approach Solder about restructuring his contract. The Giants used their first round pick last year on left tackle Andrew Thomas, who corrected his early-season struggles and finished 2020 strong. Thomas was graded as Pro Football Focus' No. 27 tackle in 2020.

Added 10:03 am (EST)

ESPN.com

N/A

B. Roethlisberger - QB

PIT

Steelers president Art Rooney II said he has no performance-based concerns about Ben Roethlisberger.

Rooney reiterated that the team would need to figure out contract restructuring with Roethlisberger before March 17, the opening of free agency, when teams must be compliant with the 2021 salary cap. "We think Ben played at a high level last year," said Rooney. "We won our division and set a franchise record for most consecutive wins to open a season, so there was a lot of good stuff." "His arm," Rooney added, " ... is as strong or almost as strong as ever, so I think he's certainly capable of getting the job done." Coming off elbow surgery that kept him sidelined for most of the 2019 season, Roethlisberger in 2020 posted a career low 6.3 yards per attempt -- a full 1.4 yards per attempt lower than his career average and 2.7 yards lower than his career best. There's plenty of reason to question the 38 year old's arm strength as he prepares for one last run with the Steelers.

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Steelers.com

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C. Godwin - WR

Impending free agent Chris Godwin says he would play under the franchise tag.

"Obviously, we all want to have long-term security, we all want to be able to take care of the people that we love, so that's the ideal situation," Godwin said. "But, you know, a franchise tag is not something that I can control. If that's what keeps me here, then that's what it is." Godwin had more words of praise for the only team he's ever known. The reality is, Godwin wouldn't have much choice either way, but this kind of conciliatory tone now hints at the possibility of a long-term deal before the July deadline.

Added Yesterday 11:57 pm (EST)

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$6900

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D. Watson - QB

HOU

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports "no one believes" Deshaun Watson will be traded.

That's via sources "knee deep" in the situation. Rapsheet appears to be referring to teams that might be interested in acquiring the elite young quarterback. Rapoport also reports the Texans do not view either the start of free agency or the draft as "any sort of deadline." Rapsheet believes the drama will last for a "very, very long time." That is consistent with the established facts, as each side continues to dig in, both out in the open and via leaks.

Added Yesterday 7:47 pm (EST)

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