Last season, the Las Vegas Aces were unable to pull off the WNBA’s first-ever three-peat, but following a Game 5 win in the semifinals, A’ja Wilson and company are back to start a new streak. Tonight is Game 1 of the WNBA Finals against the Phoenix Mercury, and we’ve got our best Mercury vs. Aces predictions for today.

Not only do we have a best bet from our Mercury vs. Aces picks, but we also have a guaranteed Novig Sportsbook promo code bonus for fans in EVERY state except for AL, CO, ID, LA, MI, MT, NV and TN!

Mercury vs. Aces Predictions for WNBA Finals Game 1, Sunday 10/5

In a season that was all but dominated by Napheesa Collier and the Minnesota Lynx, the Mercury were able to eliminate them in just four games in the semifinals. Meanwhile, the Aces needed a full five-game series to eliminate an Indiana Fever team WITHOUT Caitlin Clark AND Sophie Cunningham.

That said, Las Vegas was absolutely the hottest team in the second half of the regular season, winning a remarkable 18 straight games, a streak that didn't end until the playoffs. While they have been mortal, A’ja Wilson’s MVP-winning season (and being at home for Game 1) has the Mercury vs. Aces odds favoring Las Vegas.

While Phoenix may have finished last year with a losing record, this is not the same team in large part thanks to a massive offseason addition. Given that she is a mention throughout the best bet of our Mercury vs. Aces predictions, let’s get into it.

 

 

 

Mercury vs. Aces Best Bet: Satou Sabally Over 15.5 Points (-117 At Novig Sportsbook)

A team that DID finish with a losing record this season was the Connecticut Sun (just 11-33). It was a huge drop-off from their WNBA Finals loss to these Aces just a couple of seasons ago, and the Mercury snatched Alyssa Thomas away from that team.

If there is a player who is the true epitome of a nightly triple-double threat, it’s Thomas. In fact, there is a market for “player to record a triple-double” out there, and she is the only option (+300). There is an argument to be made that there is value to be had there, but it’s not our favorite approach.

As tempting as it is to put our focus on a player that leads her team in FOUR categories, oddsmakers know that as well, often inflating her lines. We’re going to try and pounce on those lines if she has a lackluster night for her standards and they soften, but for now, we see value with a far less talked-about name.

Against Las Vegas this season, Satou Sabally scored 15+ points in three of four games, leading the team in scoring in two of them. She’s also been hot, closing out the regular season with 25 and 27-point games. Sabally also led the team in two of four games against the Lynx and two of three games in the first round.

It won’t be the name everyone is targeting, but the best bet from our Mercury vs. Aces predictions for Game 1 tonight is Satou Sabally over 15.5 points (-117 at Novig).

 

 

 

How To Watch Mercury vs. Aces WNBA Finals Game 1

This series begins in Las Vegas, and you can see exactly how to watch Mercury vs. Aces WNBA Finals Game 1 below:

  • Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV
  • When: 8 PM ET on 10/3
  • Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Where to stream: ESPN+

 

 

 

Mercury vs. Aces Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

As mentioned, A’ja Wilson and LV are favored to tip things off, and here are the latest Mercury vs. Aces odds for WNBA Finals Game 1 at Novig Sportsbook:

  • Point Spread: Phoenix Mercury +3 (-110) vs. Las Vegas Aces -3 (-110)
  • Money Line: Phoenix Mercury (+130) vs. Las Vegas Aces (-155)
  • Game Total (Over/Under): Over 160 (-110) vs. Under 160 (-110)

 

 

 

Mercury vs. Aces Injury Report & Latest News

When it comes to the WNBA Finals and any championship series, we want the best of the best on the court. Thankfully, the Mercury vs. Aces injury news is few and far between. Let’s rephrase that - neither team has any players listed on their respective injury reports!

 

 

 

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