The 2025 US Open finishes with two blockbuster finals at Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the women’s championship, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka meets American Amanda Anisimova, who has reached consecutive Grand Slam finals for the first time in her career. On the men’s side, Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will clash for their third straight major final, with the US Open trophy and the No. 1 ranking at stake. Both finals bring elite form and heavy pressure.

 

 

 

US Open Finals Prediction & Match Overviews

Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova

Sabalenka returns to the US Open final as the defending champion. She has dropped only one set across six matches and she benefited from a quarterfinal walkover that gave her added recovery time. In the semifinal, she outlasted Jessica Pegula in three sets, relying on her serve to combat Pegula’s baseline pressure. Sabalenka’s serve has been a weapon, winning her free points and keeping her matches shorter. That efficiency can be the difference in late-stage Slam matches, especially under the bright lights in NYC.

Anisimova’s run has demanded more physically and mentally. She stunned Swiatek in the quarterfinals and then battled nearly three hours in a late-night semifinal against Osaka. Her aggressive return game has fueled one of the highest winner totals and break-point conversion rates in the draw. The question is whether she can replicate that against Sabalenka after so much court time. Sabalenka’s recent improvements in adding slice and more proactive net approaches could blunt her flat-hitting attack, giving her options other than raw power. The American crowd will be firmly behind Anisimova, which should provide a lift, but it also adds pressure in her second Slam final in a few months.

Anisimova holds a surprising 6-3 head-to-head record across their careers. Sabalenka has sharpened her variety and point construction over the past two seasons, which has made her less vulnerable to flat-ball hitters and led to more recent wins.

 

 

 

Men’s Final: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

Sinner is the defending US Open champion, riding a 27-match winning streak at hard-court majors. He handled Felix Auger-Aliassime in four sets in the semifinals and overcame a brief injury concern to finish strong. What has stood out most per usual is his balance of controlled aggression and patience. Even when his serve dipped in speed during the semifinal, Sinner found ways to win important points with his backhand and rally tolerance.

Alcaraz has been flawless, not losing a set in six matches. He beat Novak Djokovic in straight sets in the semifinal and is chasing history as the first man in the Open Era to win the US Open without dropping a set. His movement and ability to shift patterns mid-match remain unmatched on tour. Their head-to-head record sits at 9–5 in favor of Alcaraz, but Sinner has captured four of the past seven majors. Since the start of 2024, only Sinner and Alcaraz have shared Slam titles, with Sinner winning three of the last four including their Wimbledon final this summer. No one else on tour even touches the level these two are playing on.

Every meeting between them has carried significance, from marathon five-setters to Slam finals that swung on a handful of points. Their different styles, Sinner’s precise baseline depth and Alcaraz’s explosive all-court creativity, make their matches full of momentum shifts. Alcaraz arrives with the more dominant path in New York, and he often looks to disrupt rhythm with drop shots, sudden net rushes, and improvisation. Sinner’s success has often come from holding his ground in baseline exchanges, taking time away with his depth, and protecting his forehand side with improved serve placement. That ability to stay disciplined under pressure has swung recent Slam encounters in his favor. Mental fortitude will likely decide this match, as both players have shown stretches of nerves in tight moments this season.

 

 

 

US Open WTA Free Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -3.5 games (+100)

Anisimova’s firepower makes her dangerous, but the combination of Sabalenka’s serve and her fresher legs tilt the balance. Sabalenka has already proven she can handle the Ashe stage, and her ability to control points with her first strike makes her more likely to close out shorter service games. She has also shown growth in mixing in variety, adding slices and drop shots to keep opponents off balance. Bettors looking for a total may consider Over 22.5 games, but the spread is more attractive at even money.

 

US Open ATP Best Bet: Jannik Sinner ML (-125)

This is the defining rivalry of the current era. Alcaraz has been perfect in New York, while Sinner has carried the consistency of a defending champion. Their head-to-head record favors Alcaraz, but Sinner has been steadier across the Slam season. Both players know each other’s strengths so well that tactical adjustments often decide their contests. Alcaraz’s creativity against Sinner’s structured depth creates a fascinating contrast that makes every rally unpredictable. In a final where both players are capable of long stretches of dominance, Sinner’s Slam consistency and confidence from last year’s title give him an edge.

The odds reflect a coin flip, but with Sinner as our pre-tournament pick he remains the side.

 

 

 

How To Watch The US Open Finals

  • ESPN and ESPN+

 

2025 US Open Finals Odds & Betting Lines (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Women’s Final Odds:

  • Aryna Sabalenka -125
  • Amanda Anisimova +105
  • Over/Under: 22.5 Games (O -120 / U -110)

Men’s Final Odds:

  • Jannik Sinner -125
  • Carlos Alcaraz +105
  • Over/Under: 40.5 Games (O -240 / U +185)

 

 

 

When Is The US Open Final?

The women’s singles championship match will be played Saturday, September 6 at 4:00 PM ET. The men’s singles championship match will follow on Sunday, September 7 at 2:00 PM ET.

 

How To Bet On Sinner or Sabalenka at DraftKings Sportsbook & Get $150 In Bonuses

New users can sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook to wager on the 2025 US Open. Make your pick on Jannik Sinner or Aryna Sabalenka and claim your bonus today.

 

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