Following the first full day of no MLB action since the spring, we’re back with baseball in a big way tonight. The All-Star action tees off with the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby, and with the headlines being made by Cal Raleigh alone, it’s time to get set for it. That’s why we’re here to provide our best 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction with you.

To help make the already valuable 2025 MLB Home Run Derby odds even sweeter, we’ve also shared how to target any betting market while claiming a guaranteed $150 DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code offer!

 

 

 

2025 MLB Home Run Derby Prediction

Even casual fans have likely seen Cal Raleigh’s name pop up this season - especially with the nickname of “Big Dumper” - but he’s not the only newsworthy name. We had originally expected to see the home-crowd favorite Ronald Acuna to have the Braves faithful rocking Truist Park tonight.

However, the oft-injured superstar has been replaced. That said, it’s with another Atlanta slugger - Matt Olson. Speaking of change, the format of the Home Run Derby is one of the most frequently changed events across any sport.

So, to fully take advantage of our best 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction, it’s important to know how this year’s tournament is structured. For this year’s tourney with eight contestants, we’ve got three rounds. The first round is the only one that is not a head-to-head knockout stage.

We’ll see all eight players with three minutes or 40 pitches - whichever comes first - to hit as many homers as possible. The four with the most advance to the semifinals. We’ll then see #1 vs. #4 and #2 vs. #3 in a typical knockout round. Here, they’ll have just two minutes or 27 pitches - whichever comes first.

The winners advance to the finals, which has the same structure. Before we transition to our 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction, it’s also important to note that tiebreakers are broken by 60-second swing-offs, and each batter has a 45-second timeout during all three rounds.

 

 

 

2025 MLB Home Run Derby Pick & Best Bet Featuring PLAYER NAME

Now that you’ve got this year’s structure under your belt, who are we targeting? As much research as we do for our MLB predictions throughout the season, it’s simply not bankroll-smart to treat the Home Run Derby in the same way.

That’s even further proven by the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby odds - the hitter with the shortest odds is still north of +300. In other words, make your 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction more of the fun variety rather than a serious bet. With that out of the way, you may be surprised that it’s not even Cal Raleigh with those shortest odds!

Despite being in the middle of MLB history in terms of homers hit before the All-Star break, we see Oneil Cruz just slightly favored over the Seattle Mariner. However, we’re not targeting either of those sluggers; instead, we’ve got our eyes on the hometown favorite.

That would be Atlanta Brave Matt Olson. In recent years, he’s been known as a double machine, but getting to play in his home ballpark should provide him with that extra juice he needs. It will also be his second Home Run Derby, so it’s not as if he’s not used to the stage, even if the structure does change seemingly every year.

The last time we saw a hometown player win the event, it was also an NL East team with Bryce Harper winning it for the Washington Nationals. That was back in 2018, and we have it happening again this year with our 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction on Matt Olson (+500 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook).

 

 

 

How To Watch The 2025 Home Run Derby, Date & Time

With the All-Star festivities not our traditional games, we also want to make sure that you know how to watch the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby tonight:

  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • When: 8 PM ET on 7/14
  • Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Where to stream: ESPN+, MLB.com, Fubo

 

 

 

2025 MLB Home Run Derby Odds & Notable Players Available At DraftKings

You’ve seen us refer to some of the eight names in this year's event, and you can see the latest 2025 MLB Home Run Derby prediction at DraftKings Sportsbook here:

 

 

 

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