Kalshi Predictions Market PGA Picks: Best Predictions for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The PGA Tour arrives at the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, the first Signature Event of the 2026 season. With a condensed field of 80 players and no cut, the Kalshi prediction market offers a unique way to trade on tournament outcomes. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, Kalshi allows you to trade on "Yes" or "No" outcomes with prices ranging from 1¢ to 99¢, representing the market's probability of an event occurring.

With the tournament split between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill for the first two rounds, and potential coastal winds in the forecast, identifying value in the "Winner" market is key.

Top Kalshi Prediction Market PGA Picks

Scottie Scheffler to Win (Trading at ~24¢)

Scottie Scheffler enters the week as the overwhelming favorite, with his contract trading at 24¢ (implying a 24% chance to win). Coming off a gritty T3 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, where his ball-striking was elite over the weekend, Scheffler’s high floor makes him the anchor of any portfolio. While 24¢ is a premium price, his consistency in no-cut events justifies the investment. If you believe the World No. 1 is inevitable, this is the "Yes" contract to hold.

Tommy Fleetwood to Win (Trading at ~4¢)

Fleetwood is priced at 4¢, offering a significant potential return of 25x if he captures the title. Making his U.S. season debut, the Englishman fits Pebble Beach perfectly—a track that demands creativity and shot-shaping over raw power. As the reigning FedEx Cup champion (2025), a 4¢ price tag feels like a market inefficiency for a player of his caliber on a coastal links-style course.

 

Best Value Plays on the Kalshi Market Board

Si Woo Kim to Win (Trading at ~4¢)

Si Woo Kim has been one of the most consistent ball-strikers in 2026, rattling off 11 consecutive top-25 finishes. Trading at 4¢, Kim offers excellent value for a player who has cracked the code on Pebble Beach's small, sloping greens in recent years. His current form suggests he is ready to contend, and buying "Yes" shares at this low price provides excellent leverage.

Justin Rose to Win (Trading at ~3¢)

At just 3¢, Justin Rose is a steal. The 2023 champion of this event, fresh off a victory at Torrey Pines two weeks ago, Rose thrives on West Coast Poa Annua greens. The market seems to be undervaluing his recent resurgence. A "Yes" position here is a low-risk, high-reward play on a veteran who knows exactly how to navigate the conditions at Pebble Beach.

Longshot Contracts With Upside

Jake Knapp to Win (Trading at ~3¢)

Knapp is a high-variance player trading at 3¢. He ranks near the top of the tour in putting inside 10 feet to start the 2026 season—a critical skill on these bumpy surfaces. While he lacks the experience of the field's veterans, his scoring potential is high enough to make a 3¢ spec play worth the risk.

Shane Lowry to Win (Trading at ~2¢)

If the wind picks up, Shane Lowry becomes a massive threat. Currently trading at just 2¢, Lowry is a specialist in adverse weather conditions. If the forecast turns nasty, his stock will likely rise. Grabbing shares at 2¢ allows you to sell later for a profit if he climbs the leaderboard early, or hold for a massive 50x payout if he wins.

How to Approach Kalshi Prediction Markets for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Trading on Kalshi requires a different strategy than traditional betting:

1. Buy Low, Sell High: You don't have to hold a contract until Sunday evening. If you buy Justin Rose at 3¢ and he shoots a 66 in Round 1, his price might jump to 15¢. You can sell your shares then to lock in a 400% profit without sweating the weekend.
2. Portfolio Theory: Instead of betting it all on one winner, you can build a portfolio. Buying Fleetwood (4¢), Kim (4¢), and Rose (3¢) gives you exposure to three elite contenders for a total cost of 11¢. If any of them wins, you payout $1.00, securing a massive profit.
3. The "No" Market: If you believe a popular player like Viktor Hovland (Trading at ~3¢) is overhyped due to recent struggles, you can buy "No" contracts. However, in a Winner market, the "No" is usually priced very high (e.g., 97¢), meaning you risk a lot to win a little. The value this week is in identifying underpriced "Yes" contracts.

How To Use Our Kalshi AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Promo Code ALARMX

You’ll be working towards that guaranteed bonus even before the first tee shot is hit on Thursday when you use the steps below:

1. Join here 👈🏼 for a new Kalshi account
2. Enter our Kalshi AT&T Pebble Beach promo code ALARMX
3. Complete 100 contracts (1-99 cents each)

Remember, it doesn’t matter if a single one of those contracts is successful (or which golfers you target) for you to then get your $10 bonus!