Welcome into another weekend of hockey action on the Fantasy Alarm NHL Playbook this Saturday! We are moving our way toward the holiday season and the data collection is flowing nicely for wagering purposes! Expect some small swings week to week but at this point we should know who these teams are now. 

This is your one-stop shop for everything DFS-related for tonight's 12 game slate! We are in the swing of the NHL season, so let's get out there and make it count with good data at our side. There are many games to choose from and many ways to make a winning lineup! We have some very good matchups to cover, so let’s get into the action.

For the NHL Bets, there are plenty of angles to attack on the slate, and some spots might surprise you! Check out the wagers and if you like the rationale, then tail them. You can find all wagers here on the NHL Bet Tracker.

Dominate your NHL DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook,  Player Projections, & Lineup Generator.

  • Season Record: 43-30-1
  • Season Bankroll: +6.98 Units
  • Season ROI:  +14.3%

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NHL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today 11/14

Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadiens: Saturday, November 14th

Two of the league's best teams to start this season are squaring off in what could well be the game of the night! How do things shake out in this cross-conference showdown though for betting? Let's dive into the data here!

The Canadiens have been one of the best five on five teams this season and especially over the past 10 games. They rank third in the NHL in goals scored at 2.8 per game and are second in goals against at 1.2. Those numbers are mighty impressive although a lot of that is on the back of Jacob Fowler who will not be in net tonight. Instead we will see Jakub Dobes who has had a season to forget with his 4.04 GAA and .847 SV%. He also ranks 47th in goalies that have played at least seven games in goals saved above expected at -6.5. 

On the Colorado side they could be without Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar tonight who are day to day but this offense is deep with talent to be sure. They have scored 2.5 goals per game over their last 10 at even strength and most of the goals came from sources outside MacKinnon. I think the goaltending will be just bad enough tonight to push this one over the total regardless of the injuries and we are getting great odds too. 

Pick: Avalanche & Canadiens Over 6.5 (+100 on Fanatics)

Buffalo Sabres vs. Dallas Stars: Saturday, November 14th

We have another cross conference matchup tonight to dig into as the Sabres head down to the Big D to take on the Stars. Both teams have been up and down thus far but let's see how they rival each other on the ice for betting the game. 

The Sabres to start have been less than impressive across the board on the heels of last season's breakout. They are playing average hockey at best and at even strength over their last 10 they are playing in the negative stats wise. Their expected goals mark of 2.09 less than ideal and their goals against expected is 2.13 which means the offense is not keeping up with the defensive issues of late. A date with the Stars on the road is not a matchup that will help the numbers either. 

The Stars for some of their faults this season are playing plus hockey overall with 2.08 goals expected and 1.94 against when playing even strength. Those numbers are a bit better at home as well and with Jake Oettinger minding the net behind this team. Oettinger is 9-4-1 on the season with a 2.33 GAA and a shutout which are impressive numbers knowing that he's been shelled his last couple of games. I think he and the Stars turn it around tonight though against a Sabres team that is playing some poor hockey right now. 

Pick: Stars Money Line (-135 on FanDuel)

Best NHL Prop Bets & Other Picks: Today 11/14

  • Lightning 60-Min ML (-130 on DraftKings)
  • Clayton Keller (UTA) Over 2.5 Shots (-155 on DraftKings)
  • Brady Tkachuk (FLA) Over 3.5 Shots (+105 on DraftKings)
 

 

Today's NHL DFS Cheat Sheet & Stacks

Goalie of The Day: Karel Vejmelka, UTA

The Mammoth are big favorites tonight at home and its valid looking at how good they are right now and how bad the Sharks have been. The Sharks rank dead last in goals scored five on five in the last 10 games at 1.1. They can't do anything at all on offense and it makes the goalie of the day an easy choice for us. 

Player of The Day: Connor McDavid, EDM

The value at the top is not great today given some matchups but McDavid against the Maple Leafs will always be a highlight reel waiting to happen. The Leafs are allowing the 6th most even strength goals in the league and McDavid has had 13 multi point games this season, easy plug in for the DFS lineups tonight. 

Value Play of The Day: Drake Batherson, OTT

Perhaps I only notice because I watch so many Penguins games but their defense is hot garbage. Its amazing they only rank 9th highest in even strength goals against over their last 10 games with the way they play. They do allow the 3rd most DFS points to right wingers on the season though so keep an eye on Batherson and the Ottawa offense here tonight. 

Defenseman Play of the Day: Zach Werenski, CBJ

I haven't had a ton of Werenski in my lineups this season given the state of the Blue Jackets but tonight is a prime matchup against the Flyers. Philly allows the 4th most DFS points this season to blue liners and Werenski have averaged over 15 points on DraftKings over his last five outings.  

Top Stack of the Day: Mammoth Forward Line 1

With Dylan Guenther on IR some things have shuffled at the top of the Mammoth offense but they are still being productive. This line of Anders Lee, Vincent Trocheck and Clatyon Keller going up against the Sharks should yield some big time scoring for us tonight. 

 

 

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