Week 14’s Sunday slate is loaded with mismatch opportunities, and Underdog’s higher/lower format is the perfect place to attack them with confidence. The matchups, injuries, and game scripts have aligned to create several edges that are simply too big to ignore, especially when we can pair two of the most reliable volume monsters in the league. Derrick Henry and Davante Adams are both walking into dream spots where their roles are essentially scripted for success, making them the cornerstone of every Underdog entry I’m building this weekend. When the paths to victory are this clear, the smartest play is to load up and let the volume do the work.

 

 

 

Underdog NFL Picks For Week 14, 12/7

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Derrick Henry Underdog NFL Pick: Higher Than 18.5 Rushing Attempts

What has to be one of the most obvious corrections in recent memory. After the Ravens inexplicably gave him just 10 carries in Week 13, Baltimore’s coaching staff has been called out all week, and they will respond by pounding Henry early and often against a Steelers run defense that just surrendered 249 yards on the ground to Buffalo. Henry has averaged 22 carries over his previous three full games, and with Lamar Jackson still limited by injury and cold, clear weather in Baltimore, the Ravens will lean on their bell-cow to control the clock in this slugfest. This isn’t just a good spot; it’s the Ravens’ entire game plan.
 

 

 

Davante Adams Underdog NFL Pick: First Touchdown

Adams First Touchdown Scorer is the sharpest red-zone bet on the board this Sunday. Adams leads the entire NFL with 14 receiving touchdowns and has scored the Rams’ very first touchdown in each of their last two games thanks to scripted early-down targets that get him the ball in scoring position immediately. Facing a favorable matchup as heavy road favorites with a high implied team total, Los Angeles is expected to march down the field multiple times in the first half, and Matthew Stafford’s chemistry with Adams makes him the overwhelming favorite to punch it in first. When you combine elite volume, elite role, and elite quarterback trust, Adams is the highest-probability opening scorer in the league this weekend.
 

 

 

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