Searching for the best Underdog NFL picks today for Sunday Night Football? The Lions visit the Panthers in a Week 4 matchup with a 50.5-point total, and Detroit's struggling secondary has handed opposing offenses plenty of opportunity. Below, we highlight our top Underdog NFL picks for this game, along with the player projections and matchup breakdowns behind each selection.

Lions vs. Panthers: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

Detroit has scored 31 points in every game this season behind Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown, while Carolina's offense has produced 10 touchdowns through three games, the most in franchise history. Both defenses rank among the league's more generous units, and the Lions have been especially vulnerable to opposing tight ends. These are the Underdog plays we're targeting for this Sunday night showdown.

 

 

 

Best Underdog NFL Picks for SNF, Week 4

Darren Waller NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 30.5 Receiving Yards

Waller's role has grown every week, with his snap share rising from 34% to 43% to 49% and his targets climbing from two to three to a team-high eight last week, when he posted season highs of five catches and 51 yards. He's up to 10 catches for 112 yards and two touchdowns on 13 targets, and he gets a Lions defense that has allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season (six) and ranks last in fantasy points, catches, yards, and scores allowed to the position. With Xavier Legette on injured reserve and Jalen Coker unlikely to suit up, Bryce Young should keep leaning on his veteran tight end, who has already cleared this number in two of three games. Clearing 30.5 yards looks very attainable.

Jared Goff NFL Underdog Pick: Higher 1.5 Passing TDs

Goff has thrown multiple touchdowns in each of his first three games, piling up 802 yards, eight touchdowns, and no interceptions while completing 70.6% of his passes. That included a four-touchdown outing in the Week 2 shootout loss to Buffalo, and Detroit has put up 31 points in every game so far. Carolina's defense ranks in the bottom seven in both points and yards allowed and is missing top cornerback Jaycee Horn, giving Goff plenty of room to work with St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta. A quarterback who hasn't yet thrown fewer than two scores, clearing 1.5 touchdown passes again, looks like the right side.

 

 

 

Underdog NFL Player Projections for Lions vs. Panthers

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Waller and Goff as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Underdog pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

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