With only one NFL game on Black Friday, every sharp player in the country is piling into Bears-Eagles on Underdog. The lines that stand out the most belong to the two quarterbacks who are both being severely disrespected by the market. Both Jalen Hurts and Caleb Williams are in perfect spots to demolish their numbers against defenses that have clear weaknesses they exploit every week. These two picks together offer the best combination of safety and payout potential on the entire single-game slate.

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Jalen Hurts Underdog NFL Pick: Higher Than 210.5 Passing Touchdowns

Hurts’ season average sits at just 207.6 only because the Eagles bullied bad teams on the ground in September with four games of 152 or fewer passing yards. Since Week 5 he has averaged 239 yards per game and cleared 210.5 in five of his last seven starts, including 289 yards on 39 attempts last week. Chicago ranks 21st in opponent passing yards allowed and just gave up 300+ two weeks ago.

 

 

Caleb Williams Underdog NFL Pick: Higher Than 20.5 Rushing Yards

Williams is averaging 26.6 rushing yards in year two and has gone over 20.5 in seven of eleven starts, including five straight games of 53, 63, 26, 21, and 24. Philly’s edge rushers crash hard, rank 18th in rush yards allowed, and have surrendered the 12th-most rushing yards to QBs this season. Williams is a great improvisational runner and will see 6-8 designed runs plus multiple scrambles against this aggressive front.

 

 

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