Our Sleeper strategy for Monday Night Football leans into the correlation of a 49ers victory. If San Francisco controls the game as favorites, we expect their star running back to grind out yardage in the second half, forcing the Colts into a pass-heavy negative game script. This creates a perfect storm where both the opposing running back and the trailing quarterback can hit their overs simultaneously.

Sleeper Fantasy Football Picks for MNF NFL Week 16, 12/22

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Philip Rivers Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: More than 160.5 Passing Yards

The narrative of the "old man" game manager is strong, but the math favors the over. The Colts cannot win this game purely by handing the ball off to Jonathan Taylor if San Francisco scores early. Rivers will need to make plays downfield to Michael Pittman, Tyler Warren, and Alec Pierce to keep pace. He attempted 27 pass attempts last week, completing nearly 67% of them for 120 yards. 

 

 

 

Christian McCaffrey Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: More Than 59.5 Rushing Yards

Sleeper offers a great correlation play here. If the 49ers are winning (which favors the Rivers passing over), they will be running the clock out with McCaffrey in the second half. CMC is averaging well over this line on the season, and in a game where San Francisco wants to control the tempo and keep the crowd out of it, 15-20 carries for McCaffrey should easily translate to 60+ yards.

 

 

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