Black Friday’s standalone NFL game features two 8-3 Chicago Bears visiting the 8-3 Philadelphia Eagles in a massive playoff-implication battle with a bizarrely low 44.5 total. Both offenses are top-10 units, yet the books are pricing this like a 2023 rock fight while completely ignoring how explosive these passing attacks have become. The sharp money is hammering the pass-catchers because Sleeper’s lines on Brown and Loveland are the two softest numbers on the entire slate. These are straight-up misprices on players who are absolutely cooking right now.

Sleeper Fantasy Football Picks for Black Friday

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A.J. Brown Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: Over 58.5 Receiving Yards

Brown has completely erased the early-season shoulder limitations that caused two early duds when he was limited. Any time he has played 80%+ of the snaps this year he has averaged 82+ yards and has three 100+ yard games (109, 121, 110) in his last six full contests. Chicago’s secondary is absolutely shredded with multiple corners out or questionable and the Bears allow the 9th-most explosive pass plays in the league. 

 

 

Colston Loveland Sleeper Fantasy NFL Pick: Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

Loveland has been a monster the last month, posting 118, 55, 40, and 49 yards in his last four games  every one a 29-yard demolition by 10+ yards minimum. The rookie is now seeing 8-10 targets per game and has taken over all red-zone and third-down work for the Bears. Philadelphia ranks decent against tight ends on paper but has faced no one with Loveland’s current role or production. 

 

 

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