Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers
Spread: Packers - 11.5
Total: 43
Injuries
Randall Cobb - Out
Marquise Goodwin - Doubtful
Andy Dalton - Doubtful
DVOA Defensive Rankings
Bears
vs Pass: 22nd
vs Run: 18th
Packers
vs Pass: 10th
vs Run: 27th
**Please note that players not listed below are not necessarily a complete fade and any player listed can certainly be used as the MVP/Captain. These are merely suggestions for players to use when setting Showdown lineups.
MVP/CPT
Aaron Rodgers, GB QB - In his own words Rodgers “owns” the Bears which is the phrase he was seen saying after the Packers Week 6 win over the Bears which saw Rodgers finish with two passing and one rushing touchdown. The Bears defense is not at all what it once was and I expect Rodgers to certainly be on point in a prime time home game against a divisional rival.
Davante Adams, GB WR - Well, the one thing we like about the Packers offense is how concentrated the production tends to be. Adams had a “down” game against the Bears in their first meeting, catching four passes for 89 yards but he is coming off back-to-back 100+ yard receiving games and already has 80 catches for 1,083 yards and five touchdowns on the season.
A.J. Dillon, GB RB - Maybe a bit contrarian here with Aaron Jones playing and likely starting but DraftKings made a big mistake with the price tag here with Dillon costing just $6,600 as a captain play. He will likely be the highest rostered player on the slate tonight. Against the Rams he had 20 carries for 69 yards while adding five catches for 21 yards and a score. You can run on this Bears defense and we don't know if Jones is truly 100-percent.
UTIL
Aaron Jones, GB RB - So, Jones was not very good against the Rams, rushing for just 23 yards on 10 carries in his return from injury but the Packers have had a bye week for him to get ready as he heals from his MCL sprain. We know when healthy that Jones is an explosive player and he had 110 total yards and a touchdown against the Bears in their first meeting this season.
David Montgomery, CHI RB - Montgomery coming off a big game against the Cardinals last week as he rushed for 90 yards and a touchdown while adding eight catches for 51 yards. With Justin Fields returning tonight for the Bears it would make a lot of sense for them to lean on Montgomery here against a Packers defense that ranks 27th in DVOA against the run and to utilize the RPO with Fields and his mobility.
Darnell Mooney, CHI WR - Jaire Alexander is expected back for the Packers tonight but we could see him on Allen Robinson and not Mooney tonight. If that ends up being the matchup then Mooney could certainly take advantage of this Packer secondary thanks to his blazing speed and Fields big arm. Mooney had five catches for 45 yards and a touchdown against the Packers in the first matchup.
Packers D/ST - Packers defense has put up double-digit fantasy production over their last two home games, going for 13 FP against the Rams and 17 FP against the Seahawks. We know Fields is prone to turnovers and getting sacked. With the bright lights of prime time in Green Bay, I could see the Packers defense making some big plays tonight.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling, GB WR - Rodgers will take a few shots down field tonight and MVS tends to be the target on those throws. He has seen 19 targets over the past two weeks but I will temper my expectations here as those two games were high scoring, back and forth games while tonight's game against the Bears isn't expected to reach those levels. That said, all it takes is one big play, like his 75 yard TD against the Vikings, for him to pay off the play.
Justin Fields, CHI QB - What to expect from Justin Fields today? He didn't look great against the Ravens before getting injured but the previous two weeks he went for 29 and 19 fantasy points. His mobility is the appeal when it comes to his fantasy value.
Dart Throws
Cole Kmet CHI TE - The Packers have actually been a pretty good team against opposing tight ends but Kmet is one of the leading target getters on this Bears roster so it would not shock me to see him get a handful of catches here tonight. Should this game get a bit out of hand, as the 11.5 point spread suggests, we could get garbage time yards here.
Allen Robinson, CHI WR - Robinson had a big play in the Bears near win against the Steelers but unfortunately he got injured on the play. Robinson returns to the Bears lineup tonight and COULD see Jaire Alexander defense but if that ends up being Mooney then it is possible that Robinson and Fields find some of the rhythm they had there at the end of that Steelers game.
Jimmy Graham, CHI TE - The veteran TE has become a red zone presence for the Bears, catching a touchdown in each of the last two games. If they find themselves in the red zone, I would think Graham may get a look or two.
Kickers - I usually don't mind playing kickers but boy has Mason Crosby been bad this season, connecting on just 66.7% of his kicks. On the other side things are only slightly better with Cairo Santos kicking at a clip of 84.2%. That said, both do have big legs and will likely put up some points tonight.