Looking for the best NFL SNF player prop picks for Week 7? The undefeated Chiefs visit the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks at Lumen Field on Sunday night, with Seattle a 2.5 to 3-point favorite and the total set at 42.5. Below, we break down our top Chiefs vs. Seahawks player props, complete with the lines and the matchup context behind each play.
Best NFL Sunday Night Football Player Prop Picks
This one is built around a revenge game, as Kenneth Walker returns to Seattle for the first time since leaving after the Seahawks' Super Bowl run. Kansas City is 5-0 behind the league's top-ranked rushing attack, while Seattle is 3-3 and struggling to run the ball and protect it, with Sam Darnold turning the ball over in each of his last four games. Here are the props we like best for Sunday night.
Chiefs vs. Seahawks Player Props: Kenneth Walker Anytime TD
Walker returns to Seattle for the first time since winning Super Bowl MVP for the Seahawks, and he arrives as the hottest back in the league, leading the NFL in rushing with 665 yards on 106 carries (6.3 per carry) and scoring two rushing touchdowns in each of the last two games, including a 128-yard day on 19 carries last week. He has averaged 1.7 rushing touchdowns per game over his last three games compared with 0.5 in his previous 22, and he has eight touchdowns overall, six on the ground and two through the air. Kansas City leads the league in rushing yards per game, and Walker is the focal point near the goal line. Seattle ranks third against the run and second in defensive EPA per play, which makes this a tougher test than most, and the Chiefs have lost left tackle Josh Simmons to injured reserve, but a back with this much volume, a revenge motive, and a hot touchdown streak looks like a strong anytime touchdown candidate.
Chiefs vs. Seahawks Player Prop Bets: Sam Darnold Over 0.5 Interceptions
Darnold has thrown an interception in each of his last four games, seven picks on 147 attempts, including two in each of the last two weeks, a rough stretch since he returned from a glute injury. He ranks 27th in adjusted EPA per play, Seattle's offense has fallen from third to 13th in scoring since losing Kenneth Walker, and the Seahawks rank 30th in EPA per rush, which puts more of the offense on his arm. He now faces a Chiefs defense that is the best pass defense in the league, allowing just 141.3 passing yards per game, and Seattle is likely to need to throw again after Darnold attempted 51 passes last week. Mike Macdonald is sticking with him, and with turnovers continuing to be the main issue, an interception in this spot looks like a good bet.
Sunday Night Football Player Props: Emanuel Wilson Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts
Wilson has taken on the lead workload in a banged-up Seattle backfield, carrying 14 or more times in three straight games, including 21 against the Chargers, 20 against San Francisco, and 14 on just 27 snaps against Denver last week. Zach Charbonnet was ruled out again, Jadarian Price remains on injured reserve until at least Week 8, and George Holani has been the only other regular option, which leaves Wilson holding the majority of the carries at 87 for 303 yards this season. Seattle is a slight home favorite that should be able to run more often than not, and the Chiefs have the league's best pass defense at 141.3 yards allowed per game, which may nudge Seattle toward the ground. Kansas City has also been tough on the run, giving up 3.5 yards per carry, and Seattle's rushing offense ranks 30th in EPA per rush, so efficiency is a concern, but this is a volume prop and 16 carries looks attainable.
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