As the NFL season barrels toward the playoffs, Week 15 offers a slate defined by high-stakes divisional rivalries and desperate playoff pushes. With the fantasy football playoffs kicking off and NFL teams vying for seeding, the usage trends we have seen over the last month are about to be amplified. We have identified four key player props for this Sunday that capitalize on specific game scripts, including a massive "revenge game" spot in the AFC East and a bounce-back volume play for the league's most dominant running back.

 

 

 

Best NFL Week 15 Player Prop Picks: Derrick Henry over 17.5 Rushing Attempts

This prop represents a clear bounce-back volume play after Derrick Henry was limited to a season-low 10 carries during the Week 13 loss to the Bengals. That outlier performance was largely dictated by the Ravens falling behind early, forcing them to abandon the run; in his four other recent contests, Henry has averaged a dominant 21 carries per game. To avoid a season sweep by Cincinnati, Baltimore must control the clock and keep Joe Burrow on the sideline, a strategy that necessitates a heavy dose of the ground game. Expect the Ravens to correct their strategic mistake from two weeks ago and feed "The King" 20 or more times to secure this critical division win.

 

 

 

NFL Week 15 Player Prop Bets: Drake Maye over 234.5 Passing Yards

This matchup effectively serves as the AFC East Championship game, forcing the Patriots to rely heavily on Drake Maye’s arm against a potent Buffalo team. Maye has been letting it rip recently, averaging an impressive 277.2 passing yards over his last five games and eclipsing this 234.5 line in five consecutive contests. While the Bills possess a respectable pass defense, the game script suggests a high-volume shootout similar to the teams' Week 5 thriller. With the division title on the line, expect New England to keep the pedal down and trust their rookie quarterback to air it out for four quarters.

 

 

 

NFL Week 15 Player Prop Bets: Stefon Diggs over 50.5 Receiving Yards

While Stefon Diggs has been quiet recently with back-to-back games under 30 yards, reports suggest the Patriots utilized intentional workload management heading into the bye to ensure their veteran star remained fresh. Now that the preservation phase is over and the playoffs are looming, Diggs is fully rested and ready to be unleashed for the final stretch of the season. He faces a massive "revenge game" scenario against the Bills, an opponent he torched for 10 catches and 146 yards in their first meeting this year. Given the narrative and his fresh legs, clearing 51 yards should be a manageable task as he reasserts himself as the offense's WR1.

 

 

 

NFL Week 15 Player Prop Bets: Trevor Lawrence over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

The Jaguars' offense is currently firing on all cylinders, having scored 25 or more points in six consecutive games. They now face a Jets defense that has completely collapsed, ranking 32nd in Defensive Passing DVOA and allowing nearly two passing touchdowns per game over the last month. Trevor Lawrence has taken advantage of softer matchups recently, throwing for multiple touchdowns in three of his last five starts. With the Jets offering little resistance through the air, Lawrence should find the end zone at least twice simply by executing the base offense efficiently.

 

 

 

How to bet on NFL Week 15 Player Props At Novig & Claim Your $50 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM

If you are looking to get in on the action for Week 15, Novig offers a unique betting experience with competitive market odds. To claim your bonus, simply download the Novig app and sign up for a new account. During the registration process, enter the promo code ALARM to unlock a $50 bonus. Once your account is funded, navigate to the NFL section, select the player props market, and place your wagers on Henry, Maye, Diggs, or Lawrence to get started.

As for actually using ALARM, you should see that our links & banners have filled it in for you, but even if not, the steps below will have you set up in no time at all:

You’ll then automatically receive your $50 bonus, and again, you can start using their commission-free lines to make picks on anything, not just NFL Week 15 today.

 

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