The New England Patriots (11-3) travel to M&T Bank Stadium tonight looking to finally put a stamp on the AFC East crown. The mood in Foxborough is one of focused redemption after a stunning second-half meltdown against the Buffalo Bills last week, where a 21-point lead evaporated into a 35-31 loss that delayed their division-clinching celebrations. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens (7-7) are in full desperation mode, fighting to keep their flickering playoff hopes alive in a "win-or-go-home" scenario before their home crowd. Adding to the drama, New England’s defense enters this primetime clash severely shorthanded; they will be without the "spine" of their front seven as both DT Milton Williams (IR) and leading tackler LB Robert Spillane (foot) have been ruled out.

 

 

 

Best NFL Week 16 SNF Player Prop Picks: Derrick Henry Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts

The Ravens’ offensive strategy tonight should center entirely on testing a New England run defense that has plummeted to 31st in success rate allowed since the loss of Milton Williams. Without Robert Spillane in the second level to fill the gaps, Derrick Henry should find significant room to operate as Baltimore looks to control the tempo in the freezing Maryland air. Henry remains the ultimate workhorse in high-stakes games, and he has surpassed this 16.5-attempt threshold in nearly every Ravens victory this season. Expect John Harbaugh to lean on "The King" early and often to wear down a depleted Patriots front that surrendered over 100 yards to James Cook just seven days ago.
 

 

 

Patriots vs Ravens Player Prop Bets: TreVeyon Henderson Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts

While the Patriots have major injury concerns on the defensive side, their offense has found a clear, physical identity through rookie sensation TreVeyon Henderson. Henderson has officially seized the lead role in the New England backfield, consistently logging massive volume and averaging over 15 carries per game throughout the month of December. Even with the surrounding cast healthy, Henderson has remained Mike Vrabel’s preferred option in high-leverage situations, evidenced by his explosive 148-yard performance last week. In a game projected to be a tight, one-score battle on a cold night, the Patriots will likely rely on Henderson’s legs to stabilize the offense and take the pressure off young quarterback Drake Maye.
 

 

 

Patriots vs Ravens Player Prop Bets: Isaiah Likely Over 2.5 Receptions

Tight ends have been the definitive "Achilles' heel" for the Patriots’ defense all season, as they have surrendered the 6th most receptions and 9th most yards to the position through 14 games. Likely has become a vital safety valve for Lamar Jackson and has proven his ability to show up in primetime, recently recording a five-reception game against Cincinnati and four against the Steelers. With the Patriots' secondary likely focusing their efforts on limiting Zay Flowers on the perimeter, Likely should find consistent openings in the vacated middle zones to easily clear this modest 2.5-reception line.
 

 

 

Patriots vs Ravens Player Prop Bets: Andy Borregales Over 1.5 Field Goals Made

Rookie kicker Andy Borregales has been a model of consistency for New England, serving as a reliable scoring source during their late-season push. While the Patriots' offense has been efficient at moving the ball into opponent territory, they have frequently stalled in the red zone lately, leading to a heavy workload for the young specialist. Borregales has nailed two or more field goals in eight of his 14 games this year, including back-to-back performances where he converted four attempts in each contest. In what is expected to be a low-scoring defensive struggle with a thin 3-point spread, Mike Vrabel will almost certainly prioritize taking the points whenever the Patriots cross the 30-yard line.
 

 

 

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