With the fantasy playoffs underway and the NFL regular season winding down, finding value on the PrizePicks board is all about identifying narrative shifts and usage trends. For this Sunday's entry, we are backing a receiver returning to full strength and a running back in a "must-win" divisional revenge spot.

 

 

 

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Stefon Diggs PrizePicks NFL Pick: More than 50.5 Receiving Yards

While Diggs has been quiet recently with back-to-back games under 30 yards, reports suggest the Patriots utilized intentional workload management heading into the bye to ensure their veteran star remained fresh. Now that the preservation phase is over and the playoffs are looming, Diggs is fully rested and ready to be unleashed for the final stretch of the season. He faces a "revenge game" scenario against the Bills, an opponent he torched for 10 catches and 146 yards in their first meeting this year. Given the narrative and his fresh legs, clearing 51 yards should be a manageable task as he reasserts himself as the WR1.

 

 

 

Derrick Henry PrizePicks NFL Pick: More than 17.5 Rushing Attempts

We are going back to the well with Henry, whose line is lower than usual due to a specific game-script failure two weeks ago. In that Week 13 loss to Cincinnati, Henry saw a season-low 10 carries, but that was a deviation from the norm. In his other four recent games, he has averaged a dominant 21 carries per contest. To avoid a season sweep by the Bengals, the Ravens must control the clock and keep Joe Burrow on the sideline. Expect Baltimore to correct their strategic mistake and force-feed Henry 20+ touches to grind out a win.

 

 

 

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