PrizePicks NFL Picks For Wild Card Saturday, 1/10: Player Projections & Fantasy Picks
PrizePicks offers a great selection of props for the Wild Card Saturday games as teams fight to keep their Super Bowl hopes alive. Understanding coaching tendencies, weather conditions, and defensive weaknesses is the best way to find an edge on these daily fantasy projections. Today we are focusing on a quarterback facing difficult elements and a running back set for a heavy workload in a physical rivalry game. Both players are in unique situations that should lead to specific usage patterns on Saturday night.
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Jordan Love PrizePicks NFL Pick: Less than 30.5 Pass Attempts
The tactical matchup and forecast at Soldier Field heavily favor the "Less" here. Jordan Love faces a Bears defense that finished the regular season ranked 28th in Rush Defense DVOA, making them one of the most run-susceptible units in the league. Conversely, their pass defense is far more respectable. With cold, windy conditions expected in Chicago on Saturday night, Head Coach Matt LaFleur is likely to take the ball out of the air and lean on his ground game to minimize variance.
In their Week 14 meeting (a Packers win), Love attempted only 25 passes as Green Bay controlled the clock. Expect a similar game script where the Packers exploit Chicago's weakness in the trenches, keeping Love’s volume in the 25-28 range.
D'Andre Swift PrizePicks NFL Pick: More than 13.5 Rushing Attempts
This is a classic "identity" pick for a home playoff game. The Bears have shifted toward a physical, clock-control offense to protect their defense, and D'Andre Swift is the engine of that approach. Swift has been the bell cow down the stretch, averaging nearly 15 carries per game. He faces a Packers defense that, while opportunistic, ranked 22nd in Rush Defense DVOA (-5.0%) this season.
Chicago knows they must keep the high-powered Packers offense on the sideline to win. In a game with a tight spread, the Bears won't abandon the run. Expect them to feed Swift 15-18 times to set the physical tone, making this line a tremendous value in a game where volume is king.
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