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  1. Best PrizePicks NFL Pick'em for AFC Championship Sunday
  2. RJ Harvey PrizePicks NFL Pick: Less than 55.5 Rushing Yards
  3. Rhamondre Stevenson PrizePicks NFL Pick: More than 11.5 Rushing Attempts
  4. Your Ticket To An Instant $50 Bonus Is One Click Away At PrizePicks

PrizePicks offers a great selection of props for this AFC Championship showdown as the Patriots and Broncos fight for a trip to the Super Bowl. Understanding game scripts and defensive tendencies is the best way to find an edge on these daily fantasy projections. Today, we are focusing on fading a rookie running back facing an elite run defense and backing a veteran workhorse to grind out the clock. Both players are in unique situations that should lead to clear value on Sunday.

Best PrizePicks NFL Pick'em for AFC Championship Sunday

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RJ Harvey PrizePicks NFL Pick: Less than 55.5 Rushing Yards

Rookie running back RJ Harvey has been an X factor for Denver this season, scoring 12 total touchdowns and excelling as a receiving back. However, his rushing production has been efficient rather than voluminous, as he finished with just 540 rushing yards on the season. He is primarily a perimeter threat and receiving option.

He faces a Patriots unit that is only allowing 67.5 rushing yards per game through the first two playoff games. Against a disciplined run defense that will stack the box against backup QB Jarrett Stidham, Harvey is more likely to do his damage through the air than on the ground. Expect him to finish closer to 30 or 40 rushing yards, given the difficulty of the matchup.
 

 

 

Rhamondre Stevenson PrizePicks NFL Pick: More than 11.5 Rushing Attempts

New England’s path to the Super Bowl relies on keeping the Denver crowd quiet and the clock moving. Rhamondre Stevenson remains the bell cow of this backfield. Even if the efficiency isn’t elite, the volume will be there. He logged 16 rushing attempts in the Divisional Round win over the Texans, proving the coaching staff trusts him to grind out tough yards.

The Patriots are unlikely to abandon the run in the thin Denver air, needing to rest their defense. Twelve carries is a very attainable floor for a starting back in a Conference Championship game where ball control is paramount.

 

 

 

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