The best PrizePicks NFL Pick'em for Christmas Day, 12/25, features a strategic two-pick power play designed to capitalize on specific game scripts in the Denver Broncos vs. Kansas Chiefs and Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings games. Our expert analysis leverages the latest NFL player projections to identify lines that are mispriced due to venue or team motivation. By combining a "More" on a top-tier receiver with a "Less" on a struggling quarterback, we create a balanced entry for the holiday. Read on for our top PrizePicks expert picks for this Thursday's action.

 

Best PrizePicks NFL Pick'em for Christmas Day Week 17, 12/25

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Courtland Sutton PrizePicks NFL Pick: More Than 61.5 Receiving Yards

The Broncos are 12-3 and rolling, while the Chiefs are 6-9 and limping to the finish line. Denver wants to make a statement at Arrowhead Stadium, a place that has haunted them for a decade. Courtland Sutton is the primary beneficiary of this aggressive mindset. He has consistently separated from coverage this season and should feast on a Kansas City secondary that has little left to play for.

 

Jared Goff PrizePicks NFL Pick: Less Than 246.5 Passing Yards

The context of this game has changed entirely with Max Brosmer starting for Minnesota. The Lions no longer need to fear a shootout. Instead, they can respect the Vikings' talented pass defense by choosing not to challenge it. Expect Detroit to keep the ball on the ground to minimize risk, knowing that Minnesota's offense likely lacks the firepower to punish a conservative game plan. The "Less" on Goff is the smart play on a day where game management will be the priority.

 

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