The Raiders made one of the biggest moves of the NFL trade deadline, and it changed this game. Las Vegas (4-5) traded Kirk Cousins to the Vikings on Tuesday and handed the keys to No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza, who will make his first NFL start against the Seahawks (5-4). Seattle is now a 6.5-point favorite, up from -3.5 earlier in the week, but the total is what I like, so the best of my Seahawks vs. Raiders picks is the under 40.5.
Seahawks vs. Raiders Predictions for NFL Week 10, Sunday, 11/15
The market has been busy. Seattle opened at -7, fell to about -3.5, and has moved back to -6.5 now that Cousins is gone, while the total has dropped from 43.5 at the open to 40.5. The market has already told you it expects a low-scoring game, and I agree. A rookie quarterback who was the top pick in the draft, and who won the Heisman and a national title at Indiana, is making his first start against one of the league's stingiest defenses.
Seattle has its own offensive problems. Sam Darnold (ribs, quad) is out and targeting a return in Week 12, so Drew Lock will start despite an elbow and oblique injury that has limited him in practice. Lock has thrown five touchdowns with no interceptions in the three games he has played, and Seattle won all three, but he is working through a throwing-arm injury. The Seahawks have also scored 20, 17, and 17 points in their last three games, and left tackle Charles Cross (ankle) and guard Quenton Nelson (knee) are banged up.
My Seahawks vs. Raiders predictions land on Seattle 23, Las Vegas 14, which is a 37-point game and sits comfortably under the 40.5 total. The Seahawks should control the game with their defense and a methodical offense, while Mendoza gets a tough introduction.
Seahawks vs. Raiders Expert Pick: Under 40.5 Total Points
Out of all the Seahawks vs. Raiders picks on the board, this is the one I like most.
Pick: Under 40.5 (around -108). Seattle has scored 20 or fewer points in three straight games, and it is starting a quarterback with an injured throwing arm and an offensive line that is missing Nelson and has Cross limited. The Seahawks' offense is not built to put up big numbers right now.
On the other side, Las Vegas is turning to a rookie making his first career start against a stingy defense, and coach Klint Kubiak himself said he expects a transition. Mendoza has Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty to lean on, and he completed 75 percent of his passes in his only regular season action, but a first-time starter against a defense like Seattle's is more likely to produce punts than points. The Raiders also have plenty of reason to run the ball and shorten the game.
The risk is that the total has already dropped three points from the open, so some of the value is gone. A couple of turnovers that create short fields, or a defensive touchdown, could also push the game over quickly. And if Mendoza plays better than expected, Seattle may need to score more to keep pace. But at 40.5, I like the under.
How To Watch Seahawks vs. Raiders NFL Week 10
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
- Records: Seahawks 5-4, Raiders 4-5
Seahawks vs. Raiders Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
The total is 40.5, with the under around -108 and the over around -112. The Seahawks are 6.5-point favorites, with moneylines around -300 for Seattle and +240 for Las Vegas. Seattle opened at -7 and dipped to -3.5 before the Cousins trade pushed the spread back up, and the total has dropped three points from the open. Some books may still show a different number, so shop the line.
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Seattle Seahawks | -6.5 | -300 | O 40.5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +6.5 | +240 | U 40.5 |
- The Seahawks vs. Raiders odds have swung since the open, with Seattle going from -7 to -3.5 and back to -6.5 after the Cousins trade.
- The total has fallen from 43.5 at the open to 40.5.
- Seattle has scored 20, 17, and 17 points over its last three games.
Seahawks vs. Raiders Injury Report & Latest News
Seahawks:
- Sam Darnold, QB (ribs/quad): out, targeting a Week 12 return
- Drew Lock, QB (right elbow/oblique): limited Wednesday and Thursday, will start
- Charles Cross, LT (ankle): limited Thursday after missing two games
- Quenton Nelson, G (knee): out
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR: rested Wednesday, full participant Thursday
- Leonard Williams, DE (stinger): did not practice Wednesday
Raiders:
- Fernando Mendoza, QB: will make his first NFL start with Kirk Cousins traded to Minnesota
- Thomas Booker, DT (ankle): limited
- Folorunso Fatukasi, DT (shoulder/back): limited
- Trey Zuhn III, G (concussion): limited
Latest news: The Raiders traded Kirk Cousins to the Vikings for a 2027 third-round pick on Tuesday, just before the trade deadline, and named Mendoza the starter. Cousins had thrown for 2,340 yards, 20 touchdowns, and eight interceptions in nine starts. Seattle will start Lock for the second straight week with Darnold sidelined. Check Friday's final injury report before kickoff, since it could change these Seahawks vs. Raiders predictions.
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