Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers are making their first trip to Gillette Stadium since 2018, and they're walking into a building where Drake Maye and the New England Patriots haven't lost yet this season. Both teams are 5-3, the spread is just 3.5 points, and it's the best game of the 4:25 PM ET window. That's why we're breaking it down with our best Packers vs. Patriots predictions for NFL Week 9!

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Packers vs. Patriots Predictions for Sunday, NFL Week 9

15. That's how many touchdown passes Drake Maye has through eight games, and he has thrown at least two in each of his last five, which ties the longest such streak of his career. He kept it going in last week's 24-19 win in Miami, going 16-of-20 for 199 yards with scoring strikes of 43 yards to Kyle Williams and 48 yards to DeMario Douglas, then added a rushing touchdown for good measure.

Green Bay got back on track on Thursday night, sacking Bryce Young six times in a 27-19 win over Carolina. This Packers team lives through the air: Green Bay ranks second in passing yards per game and passes on a league-high 65.7% of its plays, while the rushing attack sits dead last at 60.6 yards per game. Love has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven of his eight starts. That kind of firepower is why the Packers vs. Patriots odds have Green Bay getting just 3.5 points on the road.

Micah Parsons returned to practice in a limited role this week, but Matt LaFleur's target for his return is Thanksgiving, so don't count on him Sunday. Our NFL expert picks are tracked all season long, and this week, our Packers vs. Patriots picks start with one question: can Maye keep his streak alive with a thin receiver room?

 

Packers vs. Patriots Expert Pick: Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-120 at DraftKings)

The Packers vs. Patriots odds opened with a 46.5 total that has slipped to 45.5 at DraftKings, but we're not reading that as a slowdown for Maye. New England is a 3.5-point home favorite, and over the last five weeks Maye has averaged 9.1 yards per attempt, second in the league, with 14 touchdown passes against just two interceptions.

We won't pretend this is an easy matchup. Green Bay is allowing 204 passing yards per game (8th) and ranks sixth in passing touchdown rate allowed at 3.5%, and only one quarterback has thrown multiple touchdowns against this defense all season. That's the biggest hurdle for this one, and it's the part of our Packers vs. Patriots picks that gives us the most pause.

Here's why we're still on it. The Packers throw more than anyone in the league, and Love's multi-touchdown habit should keep this game from turning into a ground-and-pound afternoon. That keeps Maye throwing for four quarters, and he has already shown he doesn't need A.J. Brown to find the end zone, since both of last week's touchdown passes came with Brown sidelined.

The risk is health. Brown (ankle/knee) and Hunter Henry (foot) both missed Wednesday's practice, and Maye's three rushing touchdowns are a reminder that he can steal a red zone score with his legs. Still, the best bet from our Packers vs. Patriots predictions is Drake Maye over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120 at DraftKings).

 

 

 

How To Watch Packers vs. Patriots NFL Week 9 Sunday

With a win, New England moves to 4-0 at home, so before you lock in your Packers vs. Patriots picks, here's how to watch for NFL Week 9:

  • Where: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA
  • When: 4:25 PM ET on 11/8
  • Where to stream: Fox (regional coverage), with streaming on Fox One

Packers vs. Patriots Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Whether you're backing Love and the road underdog or Maye and the home favorite, here are the latest Packers vs. Patriots odds for Week 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook:

The Patriots are 3-0 at home, but these Packers vs. Patriots odds ask them to win by more than a field goal. That's a tougher ask than Maye throwing two touchdowns, which is why his prop is the play in our Packers vs. Patriots picks.

 

 

 

Packers vs. Patriots Injury Report & Latest News

A.J. Brown and Hunter Henry are the names to watch this week, and their status on Friday could move the Packers vs. Patriots odds before kickoff. Below, you'll see the designations from Wednesday's practice:

Green Bay Packers:

New England Patriots:

 

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