Ravens vs. Bills Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Divisional Round Sunday

All four games this week are important games. But let’s be realistic. This is the only one that doesn’t have a spread of six points or greater. This matchup stands above all others as the marquee game between two colossal forces. And it just so happens to be our late game on Sunday, the perfect timeslot.
There’s really no shortage of narratives here. The top two MVP candidates going head-to-head. It’s a home snow game for the Buffalo Bills but the Ravens are bringing their late-season snowplow in Derrick Henry. Anyone could win this one which makes our Ravens vs. Bills predictions for the Division Round of the NFL Playoffs that much trickier!
Even if you just want to see the Ravens vs. Bills odds and have Ravens vs. Bills picks of your own, don’t forget to scroll down at the end to see how you can scoop up a $1,500 BetMGM Sportsbook sign-up bonus!
Ravens vs. Bills Predictions For NFL Division Round Sunday
Since being drafted, these two quarterbacks have now squared off four times over the last five years. And they have split the games with each winning two. Earlier this year, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens got the best of the Bills 35-10. In their previous matchup, in 2022, Buffalo won 23 to 20.
The one time they met in the playoffs, Buffalo won 17-3 in 2021. Ignoring a Week 18 game without their starters, the Bills have won 10 of their last 11. The lone loss came in a 44-42 shootout with the Los Angeles Rams. Over their last 11 games, the Ravens have lost three times for comparison.
They were beaten by the Eagles, the Steelers, and the Browns over that stretch. They are coming off a five-game win streak, however, during which they beat the Steelers twice and the Browns once - getting their revenge on both.
Baltimore Ravens: Built For The Cold
There are some teams where we would be concerned about a snowy forecast. The Miami Dolphins, for instance, don’t fare well in the cold. But this Ravens offense is built for it.
Historically, Derrick Henry has gotten stronger as the season goes on. And with their ability to go big with guys like Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely, and Patrick Ricard, the snow should not be much of an issue. They are likely to be without star wide receiver Zay Flowers, however.
The Ravens started off the season with some serious struggles against the pass. But they have since righted the ship. FTN Fantasy, which accounts for strength of schedule and weights recent performances more heavily, grades them as the 8th best defense against the pass.
And all season long they have been one of the best defenses against the run, allowing the fewest yards per game of any team.
Buffalo Bills: No More Hero Ball
Well, technically Josh Allen has always been the “hero”. But over the past four years, Stefon Diggs has been the obvious focal point of this team. With ~160+ targets and 60-70 first downs, the team would live and die based on how he performed.
After moving on from him, they’ve gone with a much more balanced approach to great success. Josh Allen may be the only player to make the All-Pro team but that is how they designed it.
On defense, the Bills have been rock-solid. And they’ve gotten even better as of late with the return of linebacker Matt Milano, one of the best cover linebackers against tight ends. He’s historically given Mark Andrews a difficult time which will make for an interesting matchup this week.
Ravens vs. Bills Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
As promised, the latest Ravens vs. Bills odds can be found below courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Baltimore Ravens -1 (-115) vs. Buffalo Bills +1 (-105)
- Money Line: Baltimore Ravens (-120) vs. Buffalo Bills (+100)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 51.5 (-110) vs. Under 51.5 (-110)
Ravens vs. Bills: Buffalo Bills +1 (-105 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
There is a LOT of pressure on Derrick Henry here. Last time he carried the Ravens to a decisive victory over the Bills with 199 rushing yards and 2 total TDs.
With Zay Flowers doubtful and Mark Andrews facing a difficult matchup with Matt Milano (we also like the under on Andrews 41.5 receiving yards at -115), it’s crucial that Henry gets going this week. And the Buffalo Bills know that. Not only do they have the home-field advantage, they have the home-field advantage in snowy conditions they have been practicing in all week.
With their new brand of unselfish football combined with some key cogs getting healthy at the right time, I think this is finally the year for Josh Allen and the gang. I think the Bills win this one outright, but they are getting a point here as well. So, we’ll take it.
Ravens vs. Bills Injury Report & Latest News
Finally, let’s take a quick look at the injury reports for both teams heading into this matchup:
BAL Ravens
- WR Zay Flowers - Doubtful
- WR Deonte Harty - Questionable
BUF Bills
- RB Ray Davis - Questionable
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