Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears had Week 5 off after their last-second win over the Las Vegas Raiders by way of a blocked field goal. As they look to improve to an over .500 record, they’ve got Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders, which means that we’ve got our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football.

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NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday Night Football, 10/13

Speaking of last-second wins, for anyone who may have forgotten, this was the famous (or infamous if you’re a Chicago fan) Hail Mary from just last season. The Commanders’ miraculous victory sent the Bears spiraling, as they went on to lose TEN straight games.

The NFL schedule makers knew what they were doing, matching up the #1 and #2 overall picks (Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels, respectively) for that game, and interestingly enough, these non-division foes will be playing one another for the fourth straight season. In fact, they’ve been playing around this exact point in the season as well.

The results have been quite polarizing as well. We’ve gone from a 12-7 Commanders win, a 40-20 Bears win, and last year, the crazy 18-15 finish for the Washington victory. Now it’s time to break down this year’s iteration of the clash for our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football.

 

 

 

Monday Night Football Prediction for Bears vs. Commanders

While you just saw last year’s low-scoring result, both us and the oddsmakers are expecting a much higher-scoring matchup this time around. A total hovering around 50 suggests that, and truthfully, we wouldn’t blame anyone looking to focus their NFL picks on that market.

What we predict will decide the winner of the game is the great matchup we have in the trenches. Chicago’s offensive line has improved so much that it’s been unrecognizable. They rank as the absolute BEST in the NFL for run block win rate and fourth in terms of pass block win rate.

However, they now have to deal with Washington’s defensive line, which ranks second in run stop win rate and sixth in pass rush win rate. So, something’s gotta give. Chicago’s the team coming off the bye, and we think Bears fans are going to enjoy the top pick from our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football. 

 

 

 

Bears vs. Commanders Best Bet for NFL Week 6: Bears Team Total Over 22.5 Points (-110 at Rebet)

Ok, perhaps it’s not the pick for the absolute revenge for last year’s Hail Mary heartbreak, but we do have Chicago scoring at least 23 points. We already outlined the Bears' much-improved offensive line, and the only reason we’re not willing to take the outright upset is the fact that Caleb Williams’ accuracy still needs to improve.

Similarly, while Washington's defensive line also has some great win rates, that doesn’t mean that they’re always finishing those plays. We also think that it’s a bit inflated and overvalued after facing the Los Angeles Chargers last weekend.

Look, going across the country and getting the win is nothing to downplay, but LA’s offensive line is in shambles with Mekhi Becton AND Joe Alt injured. In the three games prior, Washington allowed 27, 24, and 34 points, with the 24 coming from the very mediocre Las Vegas Raiders.

It only takes a couple of explosive plays from Rome Odunze to get us close to this team total, and the offensive line can handle the rest for it to go over. Therefore, the best bet from our NFL best bets for Monday Night Football is the Bears team total over 22.5 points (-110 at Rebet).

 

 

 

Top NFL Player Props & Picks for Monday Night Football, 10/13

Bo beyond our favorite target and consider some Bears vs. Commanders player props at Rebet Social Sportsbook for even more NFL picks for MNF:

Passing Yards:

Rushing Yards:

  • D’Andre Swift: Over 48.5 (-115) vs. Under 48.5 (-115)
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Over 61.5 (-115) vs. Under 61.5 (-115)

Receiving Yards:

Anytime TD Scorer: 

 

 

 

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