The NFL Thanksgiving Day slate has been a famous one since the beginning of time. Well, two seasons ago, the league also took over Black Friday. The third iteration of the “holiday” game features the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles at 3 PM ET on Prime Video, and we’re here to add to it with our NFL best bets for Black Friday.

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NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Black Friday, 11/28

This NFC showdown features a team that has won eight of nine games (four straight) against a team that just blew a 21-0 point lead in a loss. Just as everyone would have assumed, the Bears are the first team in that scenario, and the defending Super Bowl champs are the second. Never assume, whether it’s for NFL best bets for Black Friday or otherwise.

Regardless, it sets us up for a matchup between two teams that are currently 8-3 atop their respective divisions, so this could absolutely be a playoff preview. That said, Chicago still has only the third-shortest odds to win the NFC North - both the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers have shorter odds to win the division.

Before we get that far, fans in the Windy City are still excited about the marriage of Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams. So, should their offense be the focus of our NFL best bets for Black Friday?

 

 

 

Black Friday Prediction for Bears vs. Eagles

After just a single quarter + a few minutes this past Sunday, the Philly faithful were as happy as can be, destroying their NFC East rival, the Dallas Cowboys, 21-0 en route to going 9-2 and all but clinching the division. After their collapse, the sky is falling in the city of Brotherly Love, primarily with offensive concerns.

Meanwhile, Bears fans are all too used to never being able to relax. Chicago has won back-to-back 25-24 games, a 47-42 shootout followed by three straight games with final scores of 24-20, 19-17, and 31-28. Despite the Bears vs. Eagles odds suggesting a smooth win for Philly, we want no part of that spread for our NFL best bets for Black Friday.

However, we also expect the defending champs to bounce back and bring the Bears back down to Earth. So, we’re just going to avoid the standard markets altogether. Given the approach that you’re about to see, just the odds themselves should make it clear as to why we have it as the top pick from our NFL best bets for Black Friday.

 

 

 

Bears vs. Eagles Best Bet for NFL Week 13: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-115 at Onyx Odds)

That’s right, a superstar RB that is coming off a 2,000-yard season now has nearly even odds to find the endzone. Especially at home, this is a prop that we’ve seen north of -200, so the number alone makes it reason enough to be part of our NFL best bets for Black Friday. That said, let us share one with some huge plus-money odds.

We also like the look of Caleb Williams scoring an anytime TD. We’re not going to compare him to Lamar Jackson, but he is more than capable of using his legs effectively. After all, we just saw Dak Prescott find the endzone against Philly, who tucks and runs less than Caleb Williams does. Perhaps the Bears may even try and use the tush push in the Eagles' face.

Speaking of which, that play has vulture touchdowns from Saquon Barkley for sure, but we expect Philly to allow him to redeem himself for his untimely fumble and silence those doubting his production this season. We’d love our NFL best bets for Black Friday even more with a healthy Lane Johnson, but the Bears' defensive line doesn’t scare us either.

Chicago may be winning games, but their defense ranks 29th in pass rush win rate, 23rd in run stop win rate, and 22nd in EPA per rush. Those are all metrics that not only mean that this winning streak is set to end, but also for Saquon Barkley to find the endzone, as he’s a true dual threat out of the backfield.

Even if the Bears keep things close, we have Saquon Barkley anytime TD (-115 at Onyx Odds) as the top pick from our NFL best bets for Black Friday.

 

 

 

Top NFL Player Props & Picks for Black Friday, 11/28

Go beyond our favorite NFL picks above and consider some of the popular Bears vs. Eagles player props for SNF at Onyx Odds:

Passing Yards:

Rushing Yards:

Receiving Yards:

Anytime TD Scorer: 

 

 

 

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