NFL Week 12 wraps up with a classic NFC North showdown on Monday Night Football as Justin Fields leads the Chicago Bears into battle against Joshua Dobbs and the Minnesota Vikings. There is plenty of history between these two clubs, so we’ll examine their history against the spread, but one thing to note about this week is that we could have an historic finish on our hands. The favorites have won and covered in 12-of-15 games this week, tying the record for most wins/covers by a favorite in a single week here in the Super Bowl era. That record was set in Week 12 of the 2017 season, so If Minnesota wins and covers, we’ve got a new record. Will that affect our football bets? What about our player props? Let’s take a look at how we are betting Monday Night Football.

 

 

NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets: Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

The Spread: Vikings -3

So let’s get some particulars out of the way. The Vikings are 7-3-1 against the spread this season, 3-0 ATS with Dobbs under center, but 2-3 ATS at home. The Bears are 4-6-1 ATS this season, 2-4-1 ATS with Fields under center, 3-3 ATS on the road and 2-2 ATS on the road with Fields under center. And when you look head-to-head, the Bears maybe be 50-37-1 against the spread all time against the Vikings, they are just 2-6 ATS over their last eight meetings. So, from a data standpoint, everything seems to be tilting towards the Vikings. When you take all of that, plus a potential record-breaking moment, it should come as no surprise to see 53-percent of the public money on Minnesota. But that’s really not an overwhelming number, so the world, including the sharps, are struggling with the straight three-points. While I don’t love Chicago’s weapons, I do see Fields keeping this game close enough to make us worry about the three points, so with the juice being the same for the half-point in either direction, I’ll land on the visitors and take the extra hook. 

Pick: Pay the extra juice and take Bears +3.5 (-133 Caesars)

The Total: 44

I may make a ton of jokes about the “he’s due” analysis, but given the way the scoring has been all season long and the fact that the under is now 26-9 in primetime games, cashing in 17 of the last 20, I’m going to skip the goofy analysis and just let the trend be my friend. You may not like it when you notice the under is just 4-7 in Bears games this season, but it is also 8-3 in Vikings games. It’s a division game, both teams have their strengths and weakness and it’s pretty tough to argue with what we’ve seen in prime-time, especially on Monday Night Football where the under is 12-1 this season.

Pick: Under 44 (-110 BetMGM)

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