NFL DFS Week 4 Dart Board: Top Value Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel
Published: Oct 02, 2022
When it comes to NFL Week 4 DFS, value is the name of the game. We've been so disappointed with the way the top-priced guys have performed through the first three weeks, that DFS bargains have been all the rage. And we've delivered each and every week with last week being one of the most explosive as Mack Hollins, Isaiah McKenzie and Romeo Doubs produced more than three times their expected value. This week, there is considerable value as well, but most people are onto it. That's why guys like Josh Reynolds and Richie James are in the DFS Playbook and not here in the Dart Board. They're going to be so chalky that it's going to be tough to differentiate yourself from the rest of the herd. If everyone is using the same bargain plays, then we are reliant on picking the top-priced guys and, again, look at how that's turned out. No worries, though as we've got you here with winning value plays no one else has.
Welcome to the DFS Dart Board for NFL Week 4!
If you're new to Fantasy Alarm, the DFS Dart Board is an add-on to the Playbook that I started a few years ago. It came about when I was building GPP lineups and realized I needed more salary relief. As I dug through my notes to see who stood out the most among those players at a more affordable price, it hit me. When I put players in the Playbook, I am thinking primarily about cash lineup plays -- guys with a high floor who I could conceivably put into my core-group and build a lineup around. After those players, I would mix in a handful of guys who had boatloads of upside and were in soft match-ups, but I wasn’t paying as much attention to their salary as I should have. And that's where the Dart Board came into play.
Every now and then, when building lineups while using particular stacks, you need some salary relief. You need a guy who may not be minimally priced, but low enough to give you the flexibility you need to get someone like Jonathan Taylor or Stefon Diggs in as a flex play or something. Occasionally you may see a min-priced QB or TE in here, but more often than not, this space is reserved for running backs and wide receivers who are below $6,000 on FanDuel or $5,000 or lower on DraftKings.
Now while we call this a Dart Board, keep in mind that every player has been carefully researched. We're not up here picking players all willy-nilly, desperately hoping they hit. We're looking for the cheapest bargains possible who still have the strongest potential to give you at least a 3-5x return on what you pay.
All set? Great. Let's get to it and while you do, maybe give a listen to this week's NFL DFS Podcast with Jon Impemba and James Grande