Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today? The Falcons make the first-ever Thursday trip to Lambeau Field with their season on the line at 0-2, while the Packers look to build on a shaky 1-1 start of their own. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for this Week 3 matchup, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

Falcons vs. Packers: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

This is a huge game for both offenses trying to find their footing. Michael Penix makes his first start of the season for Atlanta after recovering from a torn ACL, taking over a Falcons offense that hasn't run a single play in the red zone through two games. Green Bay, meanwhile, has been without Josh Jacobs all year and has leaned heavily on Jordan Love's arm as a result. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this one.

 

 

 

Best Dabble NFL Picks for TNF, Week 3

Bijan Robinson NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 18.5 Rushing Attempts

Through two games, Robinson has carried the ball 21 and then 16 times, a workload that hasn't wavered even with three different quarterbacks rotating in and out of the lineup. Atlanta remains the only team in the league without a red zone snap through two weeks, and head coach Kevin Stefanski has pointed to the run game as the fix. Michael Penix finally takes over at quarterback this week in his first start since tearing his ACL last November, and while that should help the offense overall, it doesn't figure to take touches away from the team's clear workhorse. If anything, easing a quarterback back from a serious knee injury is exactly the kind of situation where teams lean harder on the ground game. 18.5 carries looks like a very clearable number for Robinson.

Matthew Golden NFL Dabble Pick: Higher 53.5 Receiving Yards

Golden has quickly become one of the few consistent pieces in an otherwise shaky Green Bay passing game, going for 95 yards on a team-high 12 targets in Week 1 before backing it up with 58 yards on six targets in Week 2. Jordan Love tabbed him as the offense's X receiver entering the year after Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks both left in free agency, and Golden has made the most of the vacated role. He's also proven capable of drawing coverage penalties down the field, including a 38-yard pass interference call in Week 2 that flipped the field. A receiver who has cleared 50-plus yards in both games this season; clearing 53.5 again looks like a strong bet.

Dabble NFL Player Projections for Falcons vs. Packers

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Robinson and Golden as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

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