Looking for the best Dabble NFL picks today? Week 1 wraps up with a historic Thursday night matchup as the 49ers and Rams meet in the NFL's first-ever regular-season game in Australia. Below, we break down our top Dabble NFL picks for this NFC West showdown, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.

49ers vs. Rams: Game Outlook & Key Matchups

This is about as loaded a Week 1 matchup as the NFL could have scripted, and it's happening on the other side of the world at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The Rams went all in this offseason, headlined by a blockbuster trade for reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett, while the 49ers spent big in free agency to rebuild a receiver room that's already down Ricky Pearsall for the season. Both teams enter with Super Bowl expectations, and a division rival on the other side of the globe is a fitting way to kick things off. Here's where we're finding the value on Dabble for this one.

 

 

 

Best Dabble NFL Picks for TNF, Week 1

Brock Purdy NFL Dabble Pick: Lower 21.5 Completions

The Rams didn't just add a pass rusher this offseason; they added the reigning Defensive Player of the Year. Myles Garrett now lines up next to Byron Young, giving Los Angeles arguably the most dangerous edge rush duo in the league and a defense that finished top ten in scoring a year ago even before the addition. That kind of pressure tends to speed up a quarterback's internal clock and shrink his completion window, especially on the road in an unfamiliar setting like Melbourne. George Kittle is also still working his way back from a torn Achilles and isn't a lock for a full workload, which takes away one of Purdy's easiest completion outlets underneath. Between the pass rush and the uncertainty at tight end, 21.5 completions looks like a number that could get squeezed.

Davante Adams NFL Dabble Pick: Anytime TD

Adams was a red zone monster last season, finishing with 14 touchdowns in 14 games for the Rams and leading the NFL in receiving scores. That kind of production doesn't happen by accident, and there's no reason to expect his role near the goal line to shrink entering year two in Los Angeles. If anything, the touchdown equity could tick up further if defenses start shading extra attention toward Puka Nacua given the questions swirling around him this offseason. Adams has built a career on winning contested catches in tight spaces, and a 49ers secondary breaking in new pieces of its own gives him a favorable runway. This is exactly the kind of matchup where a proven red-zone weapon finds the end zone.

Dabble NFL Player Projections for 49ers vs. Rams

Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Purdy and Adams as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Dabble pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.

 

 

 

How to Play These Dabble NFL Picks With Promo Code ALARM & Get Over $50 in Bonuses

Ready to build a lineup around these picks? Sign up for Dabble with promo code ALARM and unlock over $50 in bonuses to get started. Just create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and the bonus offers apply automatically- no extra steps needed. Check out all of Fantasy Alarm's active offers for even more ways to load up on extra plays around a historic Week 1 opener that's already stacked with value.