Looking for the best Chalkboard NFL picks today to close out Week 7? The 2-4 Cowboys visit the 2-4 Eagles on Monday Night Football, with Philadelphia starting Tanner McKee and missing DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks. Below, we break down our top Chalkboard NFL picks for this matchup, complete with player projections and the matchup angles behind each play.
Cowboys vs. Eagles: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite against a Philadelphia team that has lost four straight and is down its quarterback and top two receivers, but the Cowboys' defense ranks 32nd in passing DVOA and last in rushing yards allowed. That should help the Eagles' skill players, while Dallas' passing game has options beyond CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Here's where we're finding the value on Chalkboard for this one.
Best Chalkboard NFL Picks for MNF, Week 7
Dallas Goedert NFL Chalkboard Pick: Higher 51.5 Receiving Yards
Goedert is the Eagles' most reliable pass catcher with Smith and Wicks out, and he showed it last week with six catches on eight targets for 61 yards, an 82% snap share, and a pass interference call that set up a score. He has 180 receiving yards and two touchdowns in four games, topping this number twice, and he has returned to full practice with no designation. Philadelphia's offense is likely to funnel targets to Goedert and Lemon, and Dallas ranks 32nd in passing DVOA with a secondary teams have been picking apart. Clearing 51.5 yards looks like a good play.
Ryan Flournoy NFL Chalkboard Pick: Higher 33.5 Receiving Yards
Flournoy drew a season-high nine targets against Green Bay last week, catching seven passes for 40 yards and a touchdown while playing 86% of the snaps, and he has topped 33.5 yards in each of his last three games (37, 90, and 40). He has played more snaps in the slot than any other Cowboys receiver, and with KaVontae Turpin out with a rib injury, his snap count should stay high. Philadelphia is down cornerback Michael Carter II and edge rusher Nolan Smith, which should help Dak Prescott and the passing game. Flournoy is the third option behind Lamb and Pickens, so his volume has some variance, but clearing 33.5 yards looks like a very reasonable ask.
Chalkboard NFL Player Projections for Cowboys vs. Eagles
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Goedert and Flournoy as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every Chalkboard pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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