Jump to a topic
  1. 🎯 Play These Picks on Underdog Fantasy Today
  2. Evan Mobley Underdog NBA Pick'em — Higher 23.5 Points
  3. Victor Wembanyama Underdog NBA Pick'em — Higher 12.5 Rebounds
  4. Build Your Underdog Pick'em Entry Today

Looking for the best Underdog Fantasy NBA picks today? Our experts at Fantasy Alarm break down Monday's top player projections for the NBA slate, targeting the highest-value Higher/Lower pick'em entries across points and rebounds. Whether you're building a single entry or stacking multiple legs, we've done the homework so you don't have to. Check out Fantasy Alarm's Underdog NBA picks page for daily projections, lineup advice, and sharp analysis all season long.

🎯 Play These Picks on Underdog Fantasy Today

Ready to put these picks to work? Head to Underdog Fantasy and use promo code ALARM to claim your new user bonus. Pick Higher or Lower on today's top NBA player projections, stack your entries, and compete for real cash prizes. Click here to sign up for Underdog Fantasy with promo code ALARM and get your bonus before tonight's tip-off.

 

 

 

Evan Mobley Underdog NBA Pick'em — Higher 23.5 Points

Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies

Tonight represents the most open offensive opportunity of Evan Mobley's season, and Higher 23.5 is a projection his recent form and tonight's unique circumstances both support comfortably.

Mobley returns from a scheduled maintenance day on Sunday and re-enters a lineup that is without Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, and James Harden, three of the Cavaliers' primary offensive creators and shot generators. That leaves Mobley as the unquestioned focal point of Cleveland's offensive attack, a role he is more than capable of filling. Since March 1, he has averaged 20.0 points per game while shooting 60.9 percent from the field, posting 26 points against the Bulls and 23 against the Heat in recent appearances. His efficiency is elite, and his ability to score in the paint, convert at the free-throw line, and operate in the mid-range makes him a reliable producer at volume when given the opportunity.

What makes tonight particularly compelling is the state of Memphis's roster. The Grizzlies are fielding a lineup largely comprised of two-way contract players and 10-day signees, with no real size or interior physicality in their frontcourt. There is no legitimate NBA center capable of bodying Mobley up, contesting his shots at the rim, or preventing him from operating freely in the paint on any given possession. Missing Ja Morant, Zach Edey, and multiple rotation contributors, Memphis simply does not have the personnel to present any meaningful resistance to a player of Mobley's caliber in this moment. Higher 23.5 in the most favorable offensive context of his season against the most physically overmatched frontcourt on tonight's slate is one of the strongest Higher selections on Monday's Underdog card.

Victor Wembanyama Underdog NBA Pick'em — Higher 12.5 Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Wembanyama has cleared 12.5 rebounds in each of his last five games, averaging 16.2 boards over that stretch, and the 12.5 projection tonight remains well below his current floor even with Joel Embiid expected to suit up for Philadelphia.

The 7-foot-4 Spurs superstar has posted at least 15 rebounds in five consecutive appearances, surpassing franchise records set by Tim Duncan and David Robinson for consecutive games reaching that threshold. His 18-rebound performance in Saturday's loss to the Nuggets extended a run that has been one of the most dominant individual rebounding stretches of the 2025-26 season. Wembanyama's combination of elite length, positioning, and anticipation makes him the most difficult rebounder in the league to contain, and the Spurs' high-tempo offensive system produces a high volume of possession-changing situations that keep his total elevated on both ends.

Philadelphia ranks 18th in the league at 43.3 rebounds per game and loses the rebound battle by 1.8 boards per contest on average. Embiid is expected to play tonight but has appeared in just 37 games this season and is averaging a career-low 7.6 rebounds per game, a reflection of the toll that years of lower-body injuries have taken on his interior dominance. Even with Embiid active, Wembanyama has averaged 16.2 rebounds over his last five outings against a variety of frontcourt matchups, and no opposing center has slowed him down during this stretch. Higher 12.5 for a player who has not gone under that mark in five consecutive games while averaging 16.2 rebounds during that run is one of the most well-supported Higher selections on Monday's Underdog card.

 

 

 

Build Your Underdog Pick'em Entry Today

Stack both of today's NBA picks into a single Underdog Fantasy Pick'em entry and let Monday's matchups work in your favor. Our analysts track every injury report, usage trend, and matchup angle so you can play with confidence every day of the season. Sign up for Underdog Fantasy with promo code ALARM and claim your new user bonus before tonight's tip-off.