Underdog NBA Picks Today, 2/26: Basketball Projections + More

The NBA slate for Thursday, February 26, 2026, brings a focused lineup filled with incredible value in the prop market. We are specifically targeting players ready to exploit elite matchups and step into massive facilitation and rebounding roles. Highlighting a dynamic young forward who has taken over playmaking duties for the Pacers, alongside an elite interior presence leading the charge for the Kings, we have locked in two premier targets with clear paths to shattering their projections tonight.

Jarace Walker Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 3.5 Assists

Jarace Walker has quietly become an elite playmaker for his position, serving as a vital engine for the Indiana offense. He has cleared this projection with ease recently, recording at least 6 assists in four straight games.

The underlying metrics support this trend heavily. Walker is seeing elite volume as a facilitator, averaging 9.2 assist chances over his last five games and tallying 11 chances in three of his last four outings. His "sneaky good" passing vision allows him to find open shooters in transition and out of the high post. Against a Charlotte defense that often struggles with point-of-attack playmakers, expect Walker to keep the ball moving and comfortably clear this 3.5 mark.

Maxime Raynaud Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 0.5 Double-Doubles

Maxime Raynaud has been a machine on the interior lately, emerging as a double-double threat every time he steps on the floor. He has successfully recorded a double-double in four of his last six games, anchoring the paint with consistent scoring and high-volume rebounding.

Tonight presents a perfect situational spot for Raynaud to thrive. The Dallas Mavericks have struggled significantly to contain points and rebounds in the paint this season. Furthermore, with the Kings missing several key rotation players, Raynaud’s floor time and usage are expected to remain at a premium. His ability to dominate the glass and clean up second-chance opportunities makes this 0.5 projection a top-tier target for Thursday’s slate.

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