Isaiah Joe Underdog NBA Picks Today, 2/12: Basketball Projections + More

The NBA slate for Thursday, February 12th, offers some incredible value in the prop market, specifically targeting players stepping into massive voids and identifying fading opportunities against tough defenses. With the Thunder needing production to replace their MVP candidate and a Lakers guard struggling to find his rhythm from deep, we have identified a high-volume shooter and a fade candidate with clear paths to winning their projections. Beat the fast-paced basketball market using our Data Edge Picks and verified Expert Picks to navigate daily rotation changes. Find soft lines on player stats instantly with the Prop Finder and Odds Finder. Stay ahead of the books by tracking situational spots and streaks with our comprehensive Betting Trends.

Underdog Fantasy Free NBA Picks, February 12th: NBA DFS Projections

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Now, let’s dive into today’s NBA DFS projections and the best Underdog Fantasy NBA picks to help you build a lineup.

Isaiah Joe Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 13.5 Points

With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out of the lineup, the Oklahoma City Thunder offense shifts drastically, relying heavily on a "drive-and-kick" style that benefits Isaiah Joe more than anyone else. Joe has been the primary beneficiary of these absences, hitting the "Higher" on this projection in three straight games played without SGA.

Tonight, he faces a Milwaukee Bucks defense that has been one of the worst in the NBA at defending the three-point line. The Bucks consistently struggle with defensive rotations, leaving shooters open on the perimeter. Joe is a high-volume shooter whose floor raises significantly when he gets 10+ attempts from deep—a very likely scenario tonight given the roster void. 13.5 points is a very manageable number for a shooter of his caliber in this specific game script.

Austin Reaves Underdog NBA Pick: Lower Than 2.5 3-Pointers Made

We are fading Austin Reaves from beyond the arc tonight as he continues to work his way back from a calf strain. Since returning to the lineup on February 3rd, Reaves has struggled to find consistency with his outside shot, staying Lower than 2.5 three-pointers made in 3 of his 4 games. Expanding the sample size, he has now gone "Lower" on this line in 7 of his last 8 games dating back to before his injury.

Tonight, he faces a Dallas Mavericks team that presents a difficult matchup for perimeter shooters. Dallas possesses length on the wing capable of closing out tight on shooters. With Reaves still working to regain his full rhythm and the Mavericks offering resistance at the three-point line, the data points strongly to the Lower.

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