Looking for the best NBA player props today? We've got two Underdog NBA picks lined up for Wednesday's 10-game slate, and new players can make them count by signing up with Underdog promo code ALARM to play $5 and get $75 in bonus cash. Anthony Davis leads off after a 44-point return from an ankle sprain, and Alperen Sengun follows as the only healthy center on Houston's roster. Both plays line up with what we're seeing in Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections.
| Category | Details |
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| Platform Type | Licensed Pick 'Em DFS Platform |
| Welcome Offer | Play $5, Get $75 In Bonus Cash |
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| Minimum Age | 18+ (19+ in AL and NE; 21+ in AZ and MA) |
| Mobile App | iOS and Android |
Our best Underdog picks for Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at a glance:
- Anthony Davis Higher 22.5 Points: Wizards at Pacers, 7:00 p.m. ET; averaging 25.7 points and over this line in 6 of 9 games
- Alperen Şengün Higher 15.5 Rebounds + Assists: Warriors at Rockets, 9:30 p.m. ET; averaging 16.8 combined with at least five assists in all nine games
Underdog NBA Picks: Wednesday, 11/11; NBA DFS Projections
Every pick we make on Underdog starts with a number, and Fantasy Alarm's NBA DFS Projections are where we get it. The projections update throughout the day as injury news breaks, so when a backup center gets ruled out or a star gets upgraded to available, the minutes and stat lines move right along with it.
If you want the full board, Fantasy Alarm All Pro unlocks NBA DFS Projections for every player on the slate, plus our rankings, lineup tools, and premium analysis. It's the fastest way to find your own NBA props for Wednesday after you've locked in the two plays below.
Anthony Davis NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 22.5 Points
Anthony Davis answered every question about his right ankle on Monday. After sitting out two games with the sprain, he dropped 44 points on 16-of-21 shooting with 13 rebounds in 34 minutes at Detroit. That's four straight games over 22.5 points (25, 27, 26 and 44), and he's cleared this number in 6 of 9 games this season.
The role doesn't get much bigger. Davis is averaging 25.7 points for a Washington team that ranks 23rd in offensive efficiency, so the scoring load runs through him. He also went 10-of-11 from the line on Monday, which tells us he's attacking the rim instead of settling. The 34 minutes he logged in his return means there's no restriction to worry about.
The matchup helps, too. Indiana ranks 19th in defensive efficiency and is tied for 29th in rebound rate, according to ESPN's Hollinger team stats, and the Pacers are tied for the sixth-fastest pace in the league. They're also without Tyrese Haliburton, and with the spread sitting around Pacers -2.5 to -3.5, there's no real blowout risk cutting into Davis' minutes.
The only real risk is the ankle flaring up, and Monday answered that pretty loudly. Anthony Davis at Higher 22.5 points leads off our Underdog NBA picks.
Alperen Şengün NBA Underdog Pick: Higher 15.5 Rebounds + Assists
Alperen Şengün is averaging 9.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists, good for 16.8 combined, and he's cleared 15.5 in five of his last six games. Monday's line against Denver (12 rebounds and eight assists in 35 minutes) is a good look at the floor he's built this season.
Here's the number that sells it: Sengun has dished at least five assists in all nine games and grabbed at least six rebounds in every one. That's a floor of 11 before he does anything special. He's also the only healthy center Houston can lean on, with Clint Capela (ankle) and Steven Adams (soleus) both out, which means more paint touches and more of the offense running through his hands.
Golden State brings an eight-game win streak but is missing Kristaps Porzingis, Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, Gary Payton, and Brandon Williams. Both teams play at a below-average pace, which is the main knock here. Houston is a 6.5-point favorite, so a lopsided fourth quarter is possible, but Sengun is averaging 34.7 minutes, and the market expects a competitive game.
Alperen Şengün at Higher 15.5 rebounds + assists rounds out our Underdog NBA picks.
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New players who sign up with code ALARM can play $5 and get $75 in bonus cash, win or lose. Underdog also drops a daily Gimme Pick, so there's free value on the board every day after the welcome offer is claimed.
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Must be 18+ (19+ in AL and NE; 21+ in AZ and MA) and located in an eligible state.
What are the best Underdog NBA picks today?
Our best NBA pick'em picks for Wednesday are Anthony Davis Higher 22.5 points and Alperen Sengun Higher 15.5 rebounds + assists. They come from different games, so the pair stays uncorrelated.
Why is Anthony Davis Higher 22.5 points a good pick?
Davis has cleared 22.5 points in four straight games and 6 of 9 overall while averaging 25.7. He just scored 44 in his return from an ankle sprain, and Indiana ranks 19th in defensive efficiency without Tyrese Haliburton.
What is the Underdog promo code?
The Underdog promo code is ALARM. Enter it at registration, play $5 and you'll get $75 in bonus cash, win or lose.
Check back with Fantasy Alarm every day for the best NBA picks today, and run every entry through our NBA DFS Projections before you lock it in.