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  1. Amen Thompson Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 16.5 Points
  2. Rudy Gobert Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 11.5 Rebounds
  3. Sign Up Using Underdog Promo Code ALARM To Play $5, Get $75 In Bonuses

The NBA slate for Wednesday, March 11, 2026, offers a massive opportunity for bettors to capitalize on "Higher Than" projections. We are specifically targeting two players who are thriving in expanded roles and exploiting significant matchup advantages on the interior.

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Amen Thompson Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 16.5 Points

Amen Thompson has turned into an absolute scoring machine for Houston, and the market has been slow to adjust to his new floor. Over his last five games, Thompson has seen his production skyrocket to 22.4 points per game, making this 16.5-point projection look like a massive value.

The most encouraging sign for Thompson is the sheer volume of floor time he is receiving. He is consistently logging 35+ minutes a night and has averaged 13.4 field goal attempts over his last five games. His ability to finish at the rim (65% FG recently) makes him a nightmare for Denver's perimeter defenders. Expect him to be the primary engine of the Rockets' offense tonight.

 

 

 

Rudy Gobert Underdog NBA Pick: Higher Than 11.5 Rebounds

We are going right back to the well with Rudy Gobert, who has established a remarkably high floor on the glass. Gobert has recorded Higher Than 11.5 rebounds in seven straight games, a streak that highlights his status as the premier interior presence in the league.

Gobert isn't just grabbing boards; he is actively hunting them, recording 19+ rebound chances in nearly every game over the last two weeks. Tonight's matchup is the deciding factor: the Clippers' center rotation is incredibly thin following the Ivica Zubac trade. With a size and length advantage over virtually everyone the Clippers can throw at him, Gobert should have a massive night on the boards.

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