NBA Picks At Sleeper Fantasy Today, 1/21: Basketball Projections + More

The NBA slate for Wednesday, January 21, features pivotal matchups as rotations continue to shift across the league, specifically in Atlanta and Boston. With the Hawks traveling to Memphis and the Celtics hosting a fast-paced Indiana squad, the DFS market presents massive potential value based on hard data trends. For tonight’s action, we are focusing on a Hawks forward who has seen his playmaking role diminish and a Celtics reserve big man who has become an efficiency machine. These projections appear to misjudge their current usage for the 1/21 slate.

Sleeper Fantasy Free NBA Picks, January 21st: NBA DFS Projections

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Now, let’s dive into today’s NBA DFS projections and the best Sleeper Fantasy NBA picks to help you build a lineup.

Jalen Johnson Sleeper NBA Pick: Less Than 7.5 Assists

The books continue to set this line too high, given the recent production from the Hawks forward. Jalen Johnson has gone less than 7.5 assists in eight straight games, struggling to find the same playmaking rhythm he displayed earlier in the season.

While Johnson remains a focal point of the offense, the Hawks have leaned more into isolation scoring, reducing his opportunities to facilitate. Facing a Memphis Grizzlies defense that is disciplined in cutting off passing lanes, Johnson is likely to focus on his own shot rather than setting up teammates. Trust the eight-game trend and take the "Less" here.

Luka Garza Sleeper NBA Pick: More Than 7.5 Points

Luka Garza has carved out a legitimate role in the Celtics' rotation, and this projection stands out as the strongest value on the board. Garza has hit the “more” on this line in 7 of his last 10 games, proving to be an instant offense spark plug whenever he steps on the floor.

Tonight’s matchup against the Indiana Pacers is ideal for points production. The Pacers play at a frantic pace and often neglect rim protection, meaning Garza should feast on the interior. Whether it’s cleaning up misses or operating in the pick-and-pop, the volume is there for him to reach 8+ points quickly against the Pacers' second unit.

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