Looking for the best PrizePicks NBA picks today? Fantasy Alarm breaks down the top playoff More/Less selections for Saturday's opening night of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. From assists props to points totals, our daily PrizePicks NBA analysis targets the lines where the player profile and the matchup tell the same story. Check out Fantasy Alarm's PrizePicks NBA picks page for expert breakdowns all postseason long. Here are the top PrizePicks NBA picks for Saturday, April 18, 2026.

🎯 New to PrizePicks? Grab Your Bonus First

Sign up with promo code ALARM and get a guaranteed $50 bonus after placing your first entry, win or lose. Click here to sign up for PrizePicks with promo code ALARM.

 

 

 

Nikola Jokic PrizePicks NBA Pick — More 9.5 Assists

Jokic finished the 2026 regular season averaging 10.7 assists per game, becoming the first player in NBA history to lead the league in both assists and rebounds per game in the same season. The line here sits a full assist below that baseline, which means this prop is asking you to bet on a below-average Jokic performance against a team he has consistently shredded.

Against the Timberwolves this season, he averaged 11.3 assists across four regular-season meetings. On Christmas Day he had 15 assists in an overtime win. Minnesota has no answer for him one-on-one, and their defensive scheme forces them to collapse in the paint, which opens every passing lane Jokic needs. He does not need to score 30 to hit this number. He just needs to be himself, at home, in a Game 1 where he will see every defensive adjustment Minnesota has. He matched a career high with 34 triple-doubles this season. More 9.5 Assists is a bet on his floor, not his ceiling.

 

 

 

Nickeil Alexander-Walker PrizePicks NBA Pick — More 20.5 Points

Alexander-Walker averaged 20.8 points per game this season in a career year that has him in the Most Improved Player conversation. He is shooting 39.1 percent from three and making 3.2 of them per game, and since the Trae Young trade he has operated as a co-primary offensive option alongside Jalen Johnson. The line is set essentially at his season average, making this a prop on him performing to his established level.

The Knicks will account for Johnson on every possession, and that attention is exactly what creates Alexander-Walker's best looks. He thrives off movement, catch-and-shoot opportunities, and attacking closeouts, all of which open up when a defense commits extra resources elsewhere. He had a standout performance in the Hawks' regular-season win over New York and has shown he can produce in this building against this opponent. He is expected to be healthy after a late-season toe sprain kept him out of the finale. More 20.5 Points is the play.

 

 

 

Stack These Picks Today

Jokic cruising past his assist baseline at home against a Timberwolves team that cannot guard him, and Alexander-Walker operating as a co-primary scorer with the Knicks focused on stopping Jalen Johnson. Two strong playoff legs for Saturday. Sign up with promo code ALARM and claim your guaranteed $50 bonus before tip-off.