Happy Wednesday FANation! We are back at it for today's NBA PrizePicks slate! We went 2-2 yesterday, missing the Smart assists and Bullock 3PM but cashing our two featured plays of Cunningham over 4.5 assists and Mann over 5.5 rebounds. 

Let's get into tonight's action!

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Today's Top Plays

 

 

 

Over 25.5 Points

I know many are going to look at this 14.5-point spread and be worried here for SGA but the Thunder are 21-10 ATS on the road this season and 36-21-4 ATS overall on the year meanwhile the Nuggets are just 11-16 ATS at home. We've seen these two teams play twice already and the Thunder won the first game outright and lost the second game by just four points. As for SGA. he torched them for 27 points in their win but scored just eight points in their loss. With BOTH Josh Giddey and Lu Dort out of the lineup for the Thunder here again I expect the ball to be plenty in the hands of Gilgeous-Alexander tonight and he has not been shy about shooting since his return to the lineup, averaging 35.0 points over the last three games. The Nuggets are also a bottom 10 team when it comes to points allowed to the point guard position.

SGA L5 Game Point Totals

 

 

 

Over 15.5 Points

We love going at the Hornets with opposing centers and Jarrett Allen has feasted on this Charlotte frontcourt this season, averaging 21.3 points in their three meetings, and over the last two games against Charlotte he has scored 29 and 24 points respectively. The Hornets are allowing the most points per game to the center position in the NBA this season and even though Darius Garland is active, I think that only helps Allen given his playmaking abilities. The Hornets are also a terrible rebounding team, ranking 29th in offensive rebounds allowed which is certainly a good thing for Allen as he could get a handful of easy buckets here off the glass.

Jarrett Allen Points vs Hornets This Season

 

 

 

Over 24.5 Points

This game has a 233.5 total, the highest on the slate, and Fox is rolling right now. He's hit the over on this point total in eight of the last 10 games and in five of the six games following the trade deadline with his only missing coming against the Nuggets in the first game back from the all-star break. The Pelicans are allowing the sixth most point per game to the point guard position and their move to using McCollum at point guard is not going to do them many more favors there either. I look for the ball to be in Fox's hands here often as he owns a team-high 29.8% usage rate since the trade deadline.

De'Aaron Fox L10 Game Point Totals

 

 

 

Over 16.5 Points

If this play looks familiar it's because it should! Carter was one of our featured plays just the other night in this exact same matchup with the exact same point prop. He hit the over that night, scoring 21 points. In two games against the Pacers this season WCJ has scored 19 and 21 points so this number certainly seems a bit low. WCJ has hit the over on this total in five of the last seven games. The Pacers are not a strong team against opposing frontcourts following their trade of Sabonis and injury to Turner. Whether it be Jalen Smith, Isaiah Jackson, Goga Bitadze or Oshea Brissett, WCJ will have the advantage.

Wendell Carter Jr. L10 Game Point Totals

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Graph Credit: https://www.props.cash/